Incumbent Democrat Robert Garcia secured first place in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 42nd congressional district with over 51 percent of the vote, advancing to the November general election. Republican support split among multiple candidates, leaving Garcia positioned against a single GOP nominee in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean. This outcome has produced trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5 percent. The commanding position reflects Garcia's incumbency, the district's voting history, and the primary results. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited but include late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,749 Vol.
94%
共和党
$1,058 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Robert Garcia secured first place in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 42nd congressional district with over 51 percent of the vote, advancing to the November general election. Republican support split among multiple candidates, leaving Garcia positioned against a single GOP nominee in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean. This outcome has produced trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5 percent. The commanding position reflects Garcia's incumbency, the district's voting history, and the primary results. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited but include late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
音量
$8,807終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Robert Garcia secured first place in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 42nd congressional district with over 51 percent of the vote, advancing to the November general election. Republican support split among multiple candidates, leaving Garcia positioned against a single GOP nominee in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean. This outcome has produced trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5 percent. The commanding position reflects Garcia's incumbency, the district's voting history, and the primary results. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited but include late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,807終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Robert Garcia secured first place in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 42nd congressional district with over 51 percent of the vote, advancing to the November general election. Republican support split among multiple candidates, leaving Garcia positioned against a single GOP nominee in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean. This outcome has produced trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5 percent. The commanding position reflects Garcia's incumbency, the district's voting history, and the primary results. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited but include late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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