Massachusetts's 9th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat held by longtime incumbent Bill Keating, whose re-election bid faces only nominal opposition in the Republican primary. The district's consistent partisan lean, reinforced by voting patterns across multiple cycles, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory. With the November 2026 contest still months away and no major shifts in candidate field or district boundaries, limited Republican resources and fundraising trail the Democratic operation. Late-cycle developments such as an unexpected primary upset, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though historical precedent in this district shows such reversals as rare.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$4,198 Vol.
94%
共和党
$5,573 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 9th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat held by longtime incumbent Bill Keating, whose re-election bid faces only nominal opposition in the Republican primary. The district's consistent partisan lean, reinforced by voting patterns across multiple cycles, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory. With the November 2026 contest still months away and no major shifts in candidate field or district boundaries, limited Republican resources and fundraising trail the Democratic operation. Late-cycle developments such as an unexpected primary upset, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though historical precedent in this district shows such reversals as rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$9,771終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 9th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat held by longtime incumbent Bill Keating, whose re-election bid faces only nominal opposition in the Republican primary. The district's consistent partisan lean, reinforced by voting patterns across multiple cycles, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory. With the November 2026 contest still months away and no major shifts in candidate field or district boundaries, limited Republican resources and fundraising trail the Democratic operation. Late-cycle developments such as an unexpected primary upset, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though historical precedent in this district shows such reversals as rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,771終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 9th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat held by longtime incumbent Bill Keating, whose re-election bid faces only nominal opposition in the Republican primary. The district's consistent partisan lean, reinforced by voting patterns across multiple cycles, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic general election victory. With the November 2026 contest still months away and no major shifts in candidate field or district boundaries, limited Republican resources and fundraising trail the Democratic operation. Late-cycle developments such as an unexpected primary upset, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though historical precedent in this district shows such reversals as rare.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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