Massachusetts's 6th congressional district features an open seat after longtime Democratic incumbent Seth Moulton opted to pursue a U.S. Senate bid instead of reelection. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, aligning with the state's nine-seat all-Democratic House delegation. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the September 1 primary, while Republican options remain limited to a small field. Trader consensus at 93% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising shifts favoring the GOP. A Republican upset would likely require an unusually strong national midterm environment, significant candidate quality gaps in the Democratic primary, or unexpected turnout changes in North Shore and Merrimack Valley communities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,691 Vol.
$14,691 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
5%
$14,691 Vol.
$14,691 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,787 Vol.
93%
共和党
$7,903 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 6th congressional district features an open seat after longtime Democratic incumbent Seth Moulton opted to pursue a U.S. Senate bid instead of reelection. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, aligning with the state's nine-seat all-Democratic House delegation. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the September 1 primary, while Republican options remain limited to a small field. Trader consensus at 93% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising shifts favoring the GOP. A Republican upset would likely require an unusually strong national midterm environment, significant candidate quality gaps in the Democratic primary, or unexpected turnout changes in North Shore and Merrimack Valley communities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$14,691終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 6th congressional district features an open seat after longtime Democratic incumbent Seth Moulton opted to pursue a U.S. Senate bid instead of reelection. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, aligning with the state's nine-seat all-Democratic House delegation. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the September 1 primary, while Republican options remain limited to a small field. Trader consensus at 93% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising shifts favoring the GOP. A Republican upset would likely require an unusually strong national midterm environment, significant candidate quality gaps in the Democratic primary, or unexpected turnout changes in North Shore and Merrimack Valley communities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,691終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 6th congressional district features an open seat after longtime Democratic incumbent Seth Moulton opted to pursue a U.S. Senate bid instead of reelection. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, aligning with the state's nine-seat all-Democratic House delegation. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the September 1 primary, while Republican options remain limited to a small field. Trader consensus at 93% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising shifts favoring the GOP. A Republican upset would likely require an unusually strong national midterm environment, significant candidate quality gaps in the Democratic primary, or unexpected turnout changes in North Shore and Merrimack Valley communities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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