Republican Dan Meuser holds a commanding lead in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+19 and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024, anchors trader pricing near 97 percent for the GOP. Meuser, the incumbent since 2019, advanced through the May 19, 2026 Republican primary without notable opposition, while Democrat Rachel Wallace remains the only serious challenger. Limited recent polling or fundraising data shows no meaningful erosion of this advantage. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, yet historical results in this ruby-red northeast Pennsylvania seat indicate few realistic paths for an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,229 Vol.
$21,229 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
97%
民主党
3%
$21,229 Vol.
$21,229 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$13,528 Vol.
97%
民主党
$7,702 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Dan Meuser holds a commanding lead in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+19 and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024, anchors trader pricing near 97 percent for the GOP. Meuser, the incumbent since 2019, advanced through the May 19, 2026 Republican primary without notable opposition, while Democrat Rachel Wallace remains the only serious challenger. Limited recent polling or fundraising data shows no meaningful erosion of this advantage. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, yet historical results in this ruby-red northeast Pennsylvania seat indicate few realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$21,229終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Dan Meuser holds a commanding lead in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+19 and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024, anchors trader pricing near 97 percent for the GOP. Meuser, the incumbent since 2019, advanced through the May 19, 2026 Republican primary without notable opposition, while Democrat Rachel Wallace remains the only serious challenger. Limited recent polling or fundraising data shows no meaningful erosion of this advantage. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, yet historical results in this ruby-red northeast Pennsylvania seat indicate few realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,229終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Dan Meuser holds a commanding lead in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+19 and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024, anchors trader pricing near 97 percent for the GOP. Meuser, the incumbent since 2019, advanced through the May 19, 2026 Republican primary without notable opposition, while Democrat Rachel Wallace remains the only serious challenger. Limited recent polling or fundraising data shows no meaningful erosion of this advantage. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, yet historical results in this ruby-red northeast Pennsylvania seat indicate few realistic paths for an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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