The Arizona 9th Congressional District's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Gosar's 65% margin in the prior cycle, anchors trader consensus around the incumbent's reelection. Uncontested July primaries cleared the path for Gosar, who maintains a substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $275,000 and secured a recent NRA endorsement with an A rating. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Democratic wave, unforeseen health developments for the eight-term representative, or late-breaking campaign events, though none have materialized to shift the current positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,252 Vol.
$26,252 Vol.
2026/11/02
ポール・ゴサー（共和党）
95%
ダニ・スタービンスキー（民主党）
4%
$26,252 Vol.
$26,252 Vol.
2026/11/02
ポール・ゴサー（共和党）
$10,243 Vol.
95%
ダニ・スタービンスキー（民主党）
$16,009 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Arizona 9th Congressional District's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Gosar's 65% margin in the prior cycle, anchors trader consensus around the incumbent's reelection. Uncontested July primaries cleared the path for Gosar, who maintains a substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $275,000 and secured a recent NRA endorsement with an A rating. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Democratic wave, unforeseen health developments for the eight-term representative, or late-breaking campaign events, though none have materialized to shift the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$26,252終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Arizona 9th Congressional District's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Gosar's 65% margin in the prior cycle, anchors trader consensus around the incumbent's reelection. Uncontested July primaries cleared the path for Gosar, who maintains a substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $275,000 and secured a recent NRA endorsement with an A rating. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Democratic wave, unforeseen health developments for the eight-term representative, or late-breaking campaign events, though none have materialized to shift the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,252終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The Arizona 9th Congressional District's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Gosar's 65% margin in the prior cycle, anchors trader consensus around the incumbent's reelection. Uncontested July primaries cleared the path for Gosar, who maintains a substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $275,000 and secured a recent NRA endorsement with an A rating. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Democratic wave, unforeseen health developments for the eight-term representative, or late-breaking campaign events, though none have materialized to shift the current positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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