The Massachusetts 8th congressional district's deep Democratic tilt, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+50, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Stephen Lynch, first elected in 2000 and consistently reelected by wide margins, faces only a primary challenge from Patrick Roath ahead of the September 1, 2026, primary, while Republican candidates remain marginal with limited fundraising or visibility. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's history of lopsided general election results. The market could shift only under rare circumstances such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national political realignment before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,047 Vol.
$19,047 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$19,047 Vol.
$19,047 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$12,022 Vol.
94%
共和党
$7,025 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 8th congressional district's deep Democratic tilt, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+50, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Stephen Lynch, first elected in 2000 and consistently reelected by wide margins, faces only a primary challenge from Patrick Roath ahead of the September 1, 2026, primary, while Republican candidates remain marginal with limited fundraising or visibility. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's history of lopsided general election results. The market could shift only under rare circumstances such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national political realignment before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$19,047終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 8th congressional district's deep Democratic tilt, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+50, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Stephen Lynch, first elected in 2000 and consistently reelected by wide margins, faces only a primary challenge from Patrick Roath ahead of the September 1, 2026, primary, while Republican candidates remain marginal with limited fundraising or visibility. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's history of lopsided general election results. The market could shift only under rare circumstances such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national political realignment before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,047終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 8th congressional district's deep Democratic tilt, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+50, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Stephen Lynch, first elected in 2000 and consistently reelected by wide margins, faces only a primary challenge from Patrick Roath ahead of the September 1, 2026, primary, while Republican candidates remain marginal with limited fundraising or visibility. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's history of lopsided general election results. The market could shift only under rare circumstances such as a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented national political realignment before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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