The fragmented field of more than ten registered candidates for Piauí's October 2026 gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with no single contender securing a decisive edge in market pricing. Recent party conventions and the close of candidate registration deadlines have formalized a broad slate—including incumbent Rafael Fonteles (PT) alongside challengers such as Joel Rodrigues, Geraldo Carvalho, and others—without clear coalition consolidation or major endorsements that would shift momentum. Brazilian rules requiring a first-round majority or runoff qualification amplify uncertainty around vote splitting and alliance negotiations, sustaining even implied probabilities near 40-50% across names. Upcoming polling releases and formal alliance announcements in the coming weeks could create separation by clarifying paths to the top two spots.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジスバウド教授 44%
ジュリティ教授 44%
ラヴェンナ・ダ・インクルザォン 44%
サンティアゴ・ベリザリオ 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
ジスバウド教授
44%
ジュリティ教授
44%
ラヴェンナ・ダ・インクルザォン
44%
サンティアゴ・ベリザリオ
44%
グスタヴォ・フェイジョ
43%
ラファエル・フォンテレス
42%
ジェラウド・カルヴァーリョ
41%
ロウルデス・メロ
41%
ドラ・ルシア・サントス
40%
エリゼウ・アギアール
39%
ジョエル・ロドリゲス
38%
ジスバウド教授 44%
ジュリティ教授 44%
ラヴェンナ・ダ・インクルザォン 44%
サンティアゴ・ベリザリオ 44%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
ジスバウド教授
$0 Vol.
44%
ジュリティ教授
$0 Vol.
44%
ラヴェンナ・ダ・インクルザォン
$0 Vol.
44%
サンティアゴ・ベリザリオ
$0 Vol.
44%
グスタヴォ・フェイジョ
$0 Vol.
43%
ラファエル・フォンテレス
$0 Vol.
42%
ジェラウド・カルヴァーリョ
$0 Vol.
41%
ロウルデス・メロ
$0 Vol.
41%
ドラ・ルシア・サントス
$0 Vol.
40%
エリゼウ・アギアール
$0 Vol.
39%
ジョエル・ロドリゲス
$0 Vol.
38%
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of more than ten registered candidates for Piauí's October 2026 gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with no single contender securing a decisive edge in market pricing. Recent party conventions and the close of candidate registration deadlines have formalized a broad slate—including incumbent Rafael Fonteles (PT) alongside challengers such as Joel Rodrigues, Geraldo Carvalho, and others—without clear coalition consolidation or major endorsements that would shift momentum. Brazilian rules requiring a first-round majority or runoff qualification amplify uncertainty around vote splitting and alliance negotiations, sustaining even implied probabilities near 40-50% across names. Upcoming polling releases and formal alliance announcements in the coming weeks could create separation by clarifying paths to the top two spots.
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of more than ten registered candidates for Piauí's October 2026 gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with no single contender securing a decisive edge in market pricing. Recent party conventions and the close of candidate registration deadlines have formalized a broad slate—including incumbent Rafael Fonteles (PT) alongside challengers such as Joel Rodrigues, Geraldo Carvalho, and others—without clear coalition consolidation or major endorsements that would shift momentum. Brazilian rules requiring a first-round majority or runoff qualification amplify uncertainty around vote splitting and alliance negotiations, sustaining even implied probabilities near 40-50% across names. Upcoming polling releases and formal alliance announcements in the coming weeks could create separation by clarifying paths to the top two spots.
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented field of more than ten registered candidates for Piauí's October 2026 gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with no single contender securing a decisive edge in market pricing. Recent party conventions and the close of candidate registration deadlines have formalized a broad slate—including incumbent Rafael Fonteles (PT) alongside challengers such as Joel Rodrigues, Geraldo Carvalho, and others—without clear coalition consolidation or major endorsements that would shift momentum. Brazilian rules requiring a first-round majority or runoff qualification amplify uncertainty around vote splitting and alliance negotiations, sustaining even implied probabilities near 40-50% across names. Upcoming polling releases and formal alliance announcements in the coming weeks could create separation by clarifying paths to the top two spots.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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