Massachusetts's 7th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its Boston-area demographics and consistent voting patterns, with the incumbent Democrat securing reelection by wide margins in prior cycles. Primary contests scheduled for September 2026 and the November general election show limited Republican or independent opposition filed to date, reinforcing trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic probability. Historical base rates for similar safe seats indicate low turnover absent major disruptions such as an unforeseen candidate withdrawal or late legal development affecting ballot access. The district's partisan voting index and fundraising data for the sitting representative further anchor expectations of continuity through the current cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$16,980 Vol.
$16,980 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$16,980 Vol.
$16,980 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$9,062 Vol.
95%
共和党
$7,918 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 7th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its Boston-area demographics and consistent voting patterns, with the incumbent Democrat securing reelection by wide margins in prior cycles. Primary contests scheduled for September 2026 and the November general election show limited Republican or independent opposition filed to date, reinforcing trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic probability. Historical base rates for similar safe seats indicate low turnover absent major disruptions such as an unforeseen candidate withdrawal or late legal development affecting ballot access. The district's partisan voting index and fundraising data for the sitting representative further anchor expectations of continuity through the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$16,980終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 7th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its Boston-area demographics and consistent voting patterns, with the incumbent Democrat securing reelection by wide margins in prior cycles. Primary contests scheduled for September 2026 and the November general election show limited Republican or independent opposition filed to date, reinforcing trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic probability. Historical base rates for similar safe seats indicate low turnover absent major disruptions such as an unforeseen candidate withdrawal or late legal development affecting ballot access. The district's partisan voting index and fundraising data for the sitting representative further anchor expectations of continuity through the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$16,980終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 7th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its Boston-area demographics and consistent voting patterns, with the incumbent Democrat securing reelection by wide margins in prior cycles. Primary contests scheduled for September 2026 and the November general election show limited Republican or independent opposition filed to date, reinforcing trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Democratic probability. Historical base rates for similar safe seats indicate low turnover absent major disruptions such as an unforeseen candidate withdrawal or late legal development affecting ballot access. The district's partisan voting index and fundraising data for the sitting representative further anchor expectations of continuity through the current cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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