Republican Brad Knott, the incumbent first elected in 2024, secured his party's nomination with nearly 90 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer advanced with 59 percent on the other side. North Carolina's 2025 redistricting produced a map that shifted the district's partisan voting index to R+8 or R+9, building on Knott's 58.6 percent general-election victory the prior cycle. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican. These structural advantages and the absence of competitive primary challenges have shaped trader consensus around an 83 percent probability for the Republican nominee, with the general election still months away on November 3, 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
83%
民主党
16%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,666 Vol.
83%
民主党
$5,168 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Brad Knott, the incumbent first elected in 2024, secured his party's nomination with nearly 90 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer advanced with 59 percent on the other side. North Carolina's 2025 redistricting produced a map that shifted the district's partisan voting index to R+8 or R+9, building on Knott's 58.6 percent general-election victory the prior cycle. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican. These structural advantages and the absence of competitive primary challenges have shaped trader consensus around an 83 percent probability for the Republican nominee, with the general election still months away on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$8,834終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Brad Knott, the incumbent first elected in 2024, secured his party's nomination with nearly 90 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer advanced with 59 percent on the other side. North Carolina's 2025 redistricting produced a map that shifted the district's partisan voting index to R+8 or R+9, building on Knott's 58.6 percent general-election victory the prior cycle. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican. These structural advantages and the absence of competitive primary challenges have shaped trader consensus around an 83 percent probability for the Republican nominee, with the general election still months away on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,834終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Brad Knott, the incumbent first elected in 2024, secured his party's nomination with nearly 90 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer advanced with 59 percent on the other side. North Carolina's 2025 redistricting produced a map that shifted the district's partisan voting index to R+8 or R+9, building on Knott's 58.6 percent general-election victory the prior cycle. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican. These structural advantages and the absence of competitive primary challenges have shaped trader consensus around an 83 percent probability for the Republican nominee, with the general election still months away on November 3, 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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