Republican incumbent Brad Knott holds a strong position in North Carolina's 13th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, with trader consensus reflecting an 83.5% implied probability of a Republican win. The district's post-redistricting boundaries create an R+8 partisan lean, and forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Knott easily secured the GOP nomination in the March primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer prevailed on the other side but faces structural headwinds in a seat where recent presidential voting favored Republicans by double digits. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered the outlook in recent weeks, leaving the race's fundamentals and incumbency advantage as the primary drivers of current market pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/02
共和党
84%
民主党
16%
新規
新規
2026/11/02
共和党
$4,317 Vol.
84%
民主党
$5,314 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Knott holds a strong position in North Carolina's 13th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, with trader consensus reflecting an 83.5% implied probability of a Republican win. The district's post-redistricting boundaries create an R+8 partisan lean, and forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Knott easily secured the GOP nomination in the March primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer prevailed on the other side but faces structural headwinds in a seat where recent presidential voting favored Republicans by double digits. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered the outlook in recent weeks, leaving the race's fundamentals and incumbency advantage as the primary drivers of current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$9,631終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Knott holds a strong position in North Carolina's 13th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, with trader consensus reflecting an 83.5% implied probability of a Republican win. The district's post-redistricting boundaries create an R+8 partisan lean, and forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Knott easily secured the GOP nomination in the March primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer prevailed on the other side but faces structural headwinds in a seat where recent presidential voting favored Republicans by double digits. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered the outlook in recent weeks, leaving the race's fundamentals and incumbency advantage as the primary drivers of current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,631終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brad Knott holds a strong position in North Carolina's 13th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, with trader consensus reflecting an 83.5% implied probability of a Republican win. The district's post-redistricting boundaries create an R+8 partisan lean, and forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Knott easily secured the GOP nomination in the March primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer prevailed on the other side but faces structural headwinds in a seat where recent presidential voting favored Republicans by double digits. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered the outlook in recent weeks, leaving the race's fundamentals and incumbency advantage as the primary drivers of current market pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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