The NY-21 seat became open after incumbent Elise Stefanik opted against reelection to pursue higher office. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solidly Republican, reflecting its R+10 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Republican primary contenders Anthony Constantino and Robert Smullen face off on June 23, while Democrats Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell compete in their contest. These dynamics, combined with the district’s rural and upstate composition, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in November. No recent polling or events have meaningfully shifted the outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,486 Vol.
$24,486 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
75%
民主党
26%
$24,486 Vol.
$24,486 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$14,438 Vol.
75%
民主党
$10,048 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-21 seat became open after incumbent Elise Stefanik opted against reelection to pursue higher office. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solidly Republican, reflecting its R+10 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Republican primary contenders Anthony Constantino and Robert Smullen face off on June 23, while Democrats Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell compete in their contest. These dynamics, combined with the district’s rural and upstate composition, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in November. No recent polling or events have meaningfully shifted the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$24,486終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-21 seat became open after incumbent Elise Stefanik opted against reelection to pursue higher office. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solidly Republican, reflecting its R+10 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Republican primary contenders Anthony Constantino and Robert Smullen face off on June 23, while Democrats Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell compete in their contest. These dynamics, combined with the district’s rural and upstate composition, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in November. No recent polling or events have meaningfully shifted the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,486終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NY-21 seat became open after incumbent Elise Stefanik opted against reelection to pursue higher office. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solidly Republican, reflecting its R+10 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Republican primary contenders Anthony Constantino and Robert Smullen face off on June 23, while Democrats Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell compete in their contest. These dynamics, combined with the district’s rural and upstate composition, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in November. No recent polling or events have meaningfully shifted the outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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