NY-21 remains a Republican-leaning district in upstate New York, reflected in the 72.5% Republican and 23% Democratic trader consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat opened following Elise Stefanik’s departure, and Republican nominee Anthony Constantino secured the nomination with a decisive primary win on June 23. Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Limited recent polling and the absence of major late developments have kept probabilities stable, with the Republican edge aligned to historical voting patterns and the nominee’s stronger primary performance. Upcoming fall campaign activity could still influence turnout dynamics in this open-seat contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$56,255 Vol.
$56,255 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
73%
民主党
24%
$56,255 Vol.
$56,255 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$26,804 Vol.
73%
民主党
$29,451 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 remains a Republican-leaning district in upstate New York, reflected in the 72.5% Republican and 23% Democratic trader consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat opened following Elise Stefanik’s departure, and Republican nominee Anthony Constantino secured the nomination with a decisive primary win on June 23. Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Limited recent polling and the absence of major late developments have kept probabilities stable, with the Republican edge aligned to historical voting patterns and the nominee’s stronger primary performance. Upcoming fall campaign activity could still influence turnout dynamics in this open-seat contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$56,255終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-21 remains a Republican-leaning district in upstate New York, reflected in the 72.5% Republican and 23% Democratic trader consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat opened following Elise Stefanik’s departure, and Republican nominee Anthony Constantino secured the nomination with a decisive primary win on June 23. Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Limited recent polling and the absence of major late developments have kept probabilities stable, with the Republican edge aligned to historical voting patterns and the nominee’s stronger primary performance. Upcoming fall campaign activity could still influence turnout dynamics in this open-seat contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$56,255終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-21 remains a Republican-leaning district in upstate New York, reflected in the 72.5% Republican and 23% Democratic trader consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat opened following Elise Stefanik’s departure, and Republican nominee Anthony Constantino secured the nomination with a decisive primary win on June 23. Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Likely Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Limited recent polling and the absence of major late developments have kept probabilities stable, with the Republican edge aligned to historical voting patterns and the nominee’s stronger primary performance. Upcoming fall campaign activity could still influence turnout dynamics in this open-seat contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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