Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat covering rural western Oklahoma, including the Panhandle and areas around Enid and Stillwater. Longtime incumbent Frank Lucas faces a Republican primary challenge from Wade Burleson on June 16, 2026, while Democrats Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson compete in their own primary the same day. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent GOP performance and lack of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors. A primary upset producing a damaged candidate or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited paths for Democratic success in November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$86,662 Vol.
$86,662 Vol.
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$86,662 Vol.
$86,662 Vol.
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat covering rural western Oklahoma, including the Panhandle and areas around Enid and Stillwater. Longtime incumbent Frank Lucas faces a Republican primary challenge from Wade Burleson on June 16, 2026, while Democrats Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson compete in their own primary the same day. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent GOP performance and lack of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors. A primary upset producing a damaged candidate or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited paths for Democratic success in November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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