Incumbent Republican Frank Lucas secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 71 percent of the vote in Oklahoma's 3rd district, a strongly Republican area spanning western Oklahoma and the panhandle. The district's consistent partisan lean, Lucas's long tenure since 2003, and focus on rural priorities have reinforced trader consensus around continued Republican control. Democrat Suzie Byrd advanced from her primary but faces structural barriers typical of this seat. Cook Political Report rates the race as solidly Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, Lucas health event, or national midterm swing could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current positioning make a competitive outcome unlikely before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$89,693 Vol.
$89,693 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
2%
$89,693 Vol.
$89,693 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$46,629 Vol.
94%
民主党
$43,065 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Frank Lucas secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 71 percent of the vote in Oklahoma's 3rd district, a strongly Republican area spanning western Oklahoma and the panhandle. The district's consistent partisan lean, Lucas's long tenure since 2003, and focus on rural priorities have reinforced trader consensus around continued Republican control. Democrat Suzie Byrd advanced from her primary but faces structural barriers typical of this seat. Cook Political Report rates the race as solidly Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, Lucas health event, or national midterm swing could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current positioning make a competitive outcome unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$89,693終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Frank Lucas secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 71 percent of the vote in Oklahoma's 3rd district, a strongly Republican area spanning western Oklahoma and the panhandle. The district's consistent partisan lean, Lucas's long tenure since 2003, and focus on rural priorities have reinforced trader consensus around continued Republican control. Democrat Suzie Byrd advanced from her primary but faces structural barriers typical of this seat. Cook Political Report rates the race as solidly Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, Lucas health event, or national midterm swing could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current positioning make a competitive outcome unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$89,693終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Frank Lucas secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 71 percent of the vote in Oklahoma's 3rd district, a strongly Republican area spanning western Oklahoma and the panhandle. The district's consistent partisan lean, Lucas's long tenure since 2003, and focus on rural priorities have reinforced trader consensus around continued Republican control. Democrat Suzie Byrd advanced from her primary but faces structural barriers typical of this seat. Cook Political Report rates the race as solidly Republican. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, Lucas health event, or national midterm swing could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current positioning make a competitive outcome unlikely before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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