Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu holds a commanding position in California's 28th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic lean, her long tenure since 2009, and strong primary performance. Chu captured over 62 percent in the June top-two primary against Republican April Verlato, a former Arcadia city council member, and another Democratic challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, citing the district's voter registration edge and recent presidential results favoring Democrats by more than 20 points. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or developments that would indicate a shift. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave remain the primary theoretical paths to altering the outcome, though none have materialized in recent months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$141,319 Vol.
$141,319 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジュディ・チュー（民主党）
97%
エイプリル・ヴェルラト（共和党）
1%
$141,319 Vol.
$141,319 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジュディ・チュー（民主党）
$58,324 Vol.
97%
エイプリル・ヴェルラト（共和党）
$82,996 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu holds a commanding position in California's 28th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic lean, her long tenure since 2009, and strong primary performance. Chu captured over 62 percent in the June top-two primary against Republican April Verlato, a former Arcadia city council member, and another Democratic challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, citing the district's voter registration edge and recent presidential results favoring Democrats by more than 20 points. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or developments that would indicate a shift. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave remain the primary theoretical paths to altering the outcome, though none have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$141,319終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu holds a commanding position in California's 28th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic lean, her long tenure since 2009, and strong primary performance. Chu captured over 62 percent in the June top-two primary against Republican April Verlato, a former Arcadia city council member, and another Democratic challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, citing the district's voter registration edge and recent presidential results favoring Democrats by more than 20 points. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or developments that would indicate a shift. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave remain the primary theoretical paths to altering the outcome, though none have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$141,319終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu holds a commanding position in California's 28th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic lean, her long tenure since 2009, and strong primary performance. Chu captured over 62 percent in the June top-two primary against Republican April Verlato, a former Arcadia city council member, and another Democratic challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, citing the district's voter registration edge and recent presidential results favoring Democrats by more than 20 points. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or developments that would indicate a shift. Late-breaking events such as a major scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave remain the primary theoretical paths to altering the outcome, though none have materialized in recent months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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