California’s 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters and consistent voter registration advantages. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured the top position in the June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary with over 50 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican Scott Meyers in the November 3 general election. This outcome aligns with the district’s history as a safe seat previously held by Adam Schiff, where Democratic candidates have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee incorporates these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. Late developments such as significant shifts in turnout patterns or unforeseen candidate withdrawals remain the primary variables that could influence final results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,737 Vol.
$12,737 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$12,737 Vol.
$12,737 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,112 Vol.
93%
共和党
$6,625 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters and consistent voter registration advantages. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured the top position in the June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary with over 50 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican Scott Meyers in the November 3 general election. This outcome aligns with the district’s history as a safe seat previously held by Adam Schiff, where Democratic candidates have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee incorporates these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. Late developments such as significant shifts in turnout patterns or unforeseen candidate withdrawals remain the primary variables that could influence final results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$12,737終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters and consistent voter registration advantages. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured the top position in the June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary with over 50 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican Scott Meyers in the November 3 general election. This outcome aligns with the district’s history as a safe seat previously held by Adam Schiff, where Democratic candidates have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee incorporates these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. Late developments such as significant shifts in turnout patterns or unforeseen candidate withdrawals remain the primary variables that could influence final results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,737終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 30th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters and consistent voter registration advantages. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman secured the top position in the June 2, 2026, nonpartisan primary with over 50 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican Scott Meyers in the November 3 general election. This outcome aligns with the district’s history as a safe seat previously held by Adam Schiff, where Democratic candidates have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee incorporates these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. Late developments such as significant shifts in turnout patterns or unforeseen candidate withdrawals remain the primary variables that could influence final results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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