California's 29th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 partisan voter index and consistent ratings of Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Democrat Luz Maria Rivas and challenger Angélica María Dueñas to the November 3 general election after eliminating the lone Republican contender, ensuring the seat remains in Democratic hands absent unforeseen developments. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 further reinforced the district's partisan composition in Los Angeles County areas. Trader consensus around 96% Democratic odds aligns with this structural advantage and historical voting patterns. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal, such as a significant candidate withdrawal, scandal, or major shift in voter turnout dynamics before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$30,702 Vol.
$30,702 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
97%
共和党
4%
$30,702 Vol.
$30,702 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$13,204 Vol.
97%
共和党
$17,498 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 29th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 partisan voter index and consistent ratings of Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Democrat Luz Maria Rivas and challenger Angélica María Dueñas to the November 3 general election after eliminating the lone Republican contender, ensuring the seat remains in Democratic hands absent unforeseen developments. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 further reinforced the district's partisan composition in Los Angeles County areas. Trader consensus around 96% Democratic odds aligns with this structural advantage and historical voting patterns. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal, such as a significant candidate withdrawal, scandal, or major shift in voter turnout dynamics before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$30,702終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 29th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 partisan voter index and consistent ratings of Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Democrat Luz Maria Rivas and challenger Angélica María Dueñas to the November 3 general election after eliminating the lone Republican contender, ensuring the seat remains in Democratic hands absent unforeseen developments. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 further reinforced the district's partisan composition in Los Angeles County areas. Trader consensus around 96% Democratic odds aligns with this structural advantage and historical voting patterns. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal, such as a significant candidate withdrawal, scandal, or major shift in voter turnout dynamics before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$30,702終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...California's 29th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 partisan voter index and consistent ratings of Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Democrat Luz Maria Rivas and challenger Angélica María Dueñas to the November 3 general election after eliminating the lone Republican contender, ensuring the seat remains in Democratic hands absent unforeseen developments. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 further reinforced the district's partisan composition in Los Angeles County areas. Trader consensus around 96% Democratic odds aligns with this structural advantage and historical voting patterns. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented reversal, such as a significant candidate withdrawal, scandal, or major shift in voter turnout dynamics before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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