Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney holds a commanding lead in Connecticut's 2nd district, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic due to Courtney's long tenure since 2007, consistent reelection margins exceeding 55% in recent cycles, and a district with a modest Democratic lean confirmed by 2024 presidential results. Courtney's substantial fundraising edge and the withdrawal of a primary challenger further consolidate his position, while Republican nominee George Austin faces structural disadvantages typical of the seat. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or significant health event involving the incumbent represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,673 Vol.
$14,673 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$14,673 Vol.
$14,673 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$8,539 Vol.
95%
共和党
$6,134 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney holds a commanding lead in Connecticut's 2nd district, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic due to Courtney's long tenure since 2007, consistent reelection margins exceeding 55% in recent cycles, and a district with a modest Democratic lean confirmed by 2024 presidential results. Courtney's substantial fundraising edge and the withdrawal of a primary challenger further consolidate his position, while Republican nominee George Austin faces structural disadvantages typical of the seat. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or significant health event involving the incumbent represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$14,673終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney holds a commanding lead in Connecticut's 2nd district, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic due to Courtney's long tenure since 2007, consistent reelection margins exceeding 55% in recent cycles, and a district with a modest Democratic lean confirmed by 2024 presidential results. Courtney's substantial fundraising edge and the withdrawal of a primary challenger further consolidate his position, while Republican nominee George Austin faces structural disadvantages typical of the seat. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or significant health event involving the incumbent represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,673終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney holds a commanding lead in Connecticut's 2nd district, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic due to Courtney's long tenure since 2007, consistent reelection margins exceeding 55% in recent cycles, and a district with a modest Democratic lean confirmed by 2024 presidential results. Courtney's substantial fundraising edge and the withdrawal of a primary challenger further consolidate his position, while Republican nominee George Austin faces structural disadvantages typical of the seat. A late national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or significant health event involving the incumbent represent the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問