Connecticut's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a Solid or Safe Democratic seat by nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Jim Himes has held the southwestern Connecticut seat, encompassing areas like Stamford and Bridgeport, since 2009 with repeated reelection margins well above the national average. Republican primary contenders remain early-stage ahead of the August 2026 vote, while no major shifts in voter registration, redistricting, or polling have altered the baseline. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors, though a national Republican wave, unexpected retirement, or late scandal could narrow the gap before November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$33,995 Vol.
$33,995 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$33,995 Vol.
$33,995 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$14,042 Vol.
94%
共和党
$19,953 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a Solid or Safe Democratic seat by nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Jim Himes has held the southwestern Connecticut seat, encompassing areas like Stamford and Bridgeport, since 2009 with repeated reelection margins well above the national average. Republican primary contenders remain early-stage ahead of the August 2026 vote, while no major shifts in voter registration, redistricting, or polling have altered the baseline. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors, though a national Republican wave, unexpected retirement, or late scandal could narrow the gap before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$33,995終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a Solid or Safe Democratic seat by nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Jim Himes has held the southwestern Connecticut seat, encompassing areas like Stamford and Bridgeport, since 2009 with repeated reelection margins well above the national average. Republican primary contenders remain early-stage ahead of the August 2026 vote, while no major shifts in voter registration, redistricting, or polling have altered the baseline. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors, though a national Republican wave, unexpected retirement, or late scandal could narrow the gap before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$33,995終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a Solid or Safe Democratic seat by nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Jim Himes has held the southwestern Connecticut seat, encompassing areas like Stamford and Bridgeport, since 2009 with repeated reelection margins well above the national average. Republican primary contenders remain early-stage ahead of the August 2026 vote, while no major shifts in voter registration, redistricting, or polling have altered the baseline. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors, though a national Republican wave, unexpected retirement, or late scandal could narrow the gap before November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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