Jim Himes has represented Connecticut’s 4th congressional district since 2009 and won reelection in 2024 with 61 percent of the vote against the same Republican opponent. The district carries a D+13 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in presidential and congressional contests. Himes advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Democratic primary, while Michael Goldstein secured the Republican nomination by a wide margin but enters the general election with limited fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A commanding lead in trader consensus stems from these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating any meaningful shift. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$47,340 Vol.
$47,340 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジム・ハイムズ（民主党）
96%
マイケル・ゴールドスタイン（共和党）
4%
$47,340 Vol.
$47,340 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジム・ハイムズ（民主党）
$21,773 Vol.
96%
マイケル・ゴールドスタイン（共和党）
$25,567 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jim Himes has represented Connecticut’s 4th congressional district since 2009 and won reelection in 2024 with 61 percent of the vote against the same Republican opponent. The district carries a D+13 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in presidential and congressional contests. Himes advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Democratic primary, while Michael Goldstein secured the Republican nomination by a wide margin but enters the general election with limited fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A commanding lead in trader consensus stems from these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating any meaningful shift. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$47,340終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jim Himes has represented Connecticut’s 4th congressional district since 2009 and won reelection in 2024 with 61 percent of the vote against the same Republican opponent. The district carries a D+13 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in presidential and congressional contests. Himes advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Democratic primary, while Michael Goldstein secured the Republican nomination by a wide margin but enters the general election with limited fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A commanding lead in trader consensus stems from these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating any meaningful shift. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$47,340終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Jim Himes has represented Connecticut’s 4th congressional district since 2009 and won reelection in 2024 with 61 percent of the vote against the same Republican opponent. The district carries a D+13 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in presidential and congressional contests. Himes advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Democratic primary, while Michael Goldstein secured the Republican nomination by a wide margin but enters the general election with limited fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A commanding lead in trader consensus stems from these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating any meaningful shift. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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