Incumbent Jahana Hayes maintains a commanding lead in the CT-05 race due to the district’s Democratic lean, her established fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand, and consistent forecaster ratings of Solid or Likely Democratic. Chris Shea, the Republican nominee who won his August primary by a wide margin, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and the seat’s history of Democratic control since 2008. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from a national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, a major scandal or health event affecting Hayes, or unusually strong Shea performance in the final weeks that narrows the margin below historical benchmarks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
ジャハナ・ヘイズ（民主党）
95%
クリス・シェイ（共和党）
5%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
ジャハナ・ヘイズ（民主党）
$5,339 Vol.
95%
クリス・シェイ（共和党）
$3,497 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jahana Hayes maintains a commanding lead in the CT-05 race due to the district’s Democratic lean, her established fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand, and consistent forecaster ratings of Solid or Likely Democratic. Chris Shea, the Republican nominee who won his August primary by a wide margin, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and the seat’s history of Democratic control since 2008. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from a national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, a major scandal or health event affecting Hayes, or unusually strong Shea performance in the final weeks that narrows the margin below historical benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
音量
$8,836終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jahana Hayes maintains a commanding lead in the CT-05 race due to the district’s Democratic lean, her established fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand, and consistent forecaster ratings of Solid or Likely Democratic. Chris Shea, the Republican nominee who won his August primary by a wide margin, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and the seat’s history of Democratic control since 2008. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from a national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, a major scandal or health event affecting Hayes, or unusually strong Shea performance in the final weeks that narrows the margin below historical benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,836終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jahana Hayes maintains a commanding lead in the CT-05 race due to the district’s Democratic lean, her established fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand, and consistent forecaster ratings of Solid or Likely Democratic. Chris Shea, the Republican nominee who won his August primary by a wide margin, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and the seat’s history of Democratic control since 2008. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from a national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, a major scandal or health event affecting Hayes, or unusually strong Shea performance in the final weeks that narrows the margin below historical benchmarks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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