Connecticut’s 1st congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent general-election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. The August 11 Democratic primary, featuring former Hartford mayor Luke Bronin after his May convention endorsement victory over 14-term incumbent John Larson, introduces internal competition but does not alter the district’s structural tilt. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic general-election win on November 3 because Republican performance has remained marginal even in stronger national environments. A realistic shift in odds would require an unusually weak Democratic nominee, a major scandal affecting the eventual nominee, or an unforeseen national political realignment that narrows the district’s typical margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
18%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$2,399 Vol.
94%
共和党
$1,329 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut’s 1st congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent general-election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. The August 11 Democratic primary, featuring former Hartford mayor Luke Bronin after his May convention endorsement victory over 14-term incumbent John Larson, introduces internal competition but does not alter the district’s structural tilt. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic general-election win on November 3 because Republican performance has remained marginal even in stronger national environments. A realistic shift in odds would require an unusually weak Democratic nominee, a major scandal affecting the eventual nominee, or an unforeseen national political realignment that narrows the district’s typical margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$3,728終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut’s 1st congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent general-election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. The August 11 Democratic primary, featuring former Hartford mayor Luke Bronin after his May convention endorsement victory over 14-term incumbent John Larson, introduces internal competition but does not alter the district’s structural tilt. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic general-election win on November 3 because Republican performance has remained marginal even in stronger national environments. A realistic shift in odds would require an unusually weak Democratic nominee, a major scandal affecting the eventual nominee, or an unforeseen national political realignment that narrows the district’s typical margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,728終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut’s 1st congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent general-election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. The August 11 Democratic primary, featuring former Hartford mayor Luke Bronin after his May convention endorsement victory over 14-term incumbent John Larson, introduces internal competition but does not alter the district’s structural tilt. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic general-election win on November 3 because Republican performance has remained marginal even in stronger national environments. A realistic shift in odds would require an unusually weak Democratic nominee, a major scandal affecting the eventual nominee, or an unforeseen national political realignment that narrows the district’s typical margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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