Connecticut’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative John Larson, seeking a 15th term, leads Democratic primary polling ahead of challengers including former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin, with the August 11 primary set to determine the nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited Republican infrastructure and the party’s structural advantages in a district that includes Hartford and surrounding urban and suburban areas. The November 3 general election timeline reinforces trader expectations of a Democratic outcome, though an unusually strong Republican general-election candidate or major late-cycle developments could narrow the margin in this otherwise secure seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$781 Vol.
93%
共和党
$1,224 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative John Larson, seeking a 15th term, leads Democratic primary polling ahead of challengers including former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin, with the August 11 primary set to determine the nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited Republican infrastructure and the party’s structural advantages in a district that includes Hartford and surrounding urban and suburban areas. The November 3 general election timeline reinforces trader expectations of a Democratic outcome, though an unusually strong Republican general-election candidate or major late-cycle developments could narrow the margin in this otherwise secure seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$2,005終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative John Larson, seeking a 15th term, leads Democratic primary polling ahead of challengers including former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin, with the August 11 primary set to determine the nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited Republican infrastructure and the party’s structural advantages in a district that includes Hartford and surrounding urban and suburban areas. The November 3 general election timeline reinforces trader expectations of a Democratic outcome, though an unusually strong Republican general-election candidate or major late-cycle developments could narrow the margin in this otherwise secure seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,005終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative John Larson, seeking a 15th term, leads Democratic primary polling ahead of challengers including former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin, with the August 11 primary set to determine the nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited Republican infrastructure and the party’s structural advantages in a district that includes Hartford and surrounding urban and suburban areas. The November 3 general election timeline reinforces trader expectations of a Democratic outcome, though an unusually strong Republican general-election candidate or major late-cycle developments could narrow the margin in this otherwise secure seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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