North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat covering Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake, where the party has held the seat for decades and won by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces only modest Republican opposition from Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. All major nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and the absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive contest. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,730 Vol.
$45,730 Vol.
2026/11/02
ヴァレリー・フーシー（民主党）
95%
マックス・ガノーカル（共和党）
3%
$45,730 Vol.
$45,730 Vol.
2026/11/02
ヴァレリー・フーシー（民主党）
$14,801 Vol.
95%
マックス・ガノーカル（共和党）
$30,929 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat covering Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake, where the party has held the seat for decades and won by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces only modest Republican opposition from Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. All major nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and the absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive contest. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$45,730終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat covering Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake, where the party has held the seat for decades and won by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces only modest Republican opposition from Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. All major nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and the absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive contest. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$45,730終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 4th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat covering Durham and Orange counties plus portions of Chatham and Wake, where the party has held the seat for decades and won by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in a competitive March 2026 primary and faces only modest Republican opposition from Mahesh Ganorkar in the November general election. All major nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and the absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a competitive contest. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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