North Carolina’s 4th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23, encompassing Durham, Orange, and portions of Chatham and Wake counties. Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee secured renomination in a narrow March 2026 primary victory over challenger Nida Allam and now faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district’s voting history and the absence of competitive polling or significant fundraising by the Republican nominee. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,730 Vol.
$45,730 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$45,730 Vol.
$45,730 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$14,801 Vol.
95%
共和党
$30,929 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23, encompassing Durham, Orange, and portions of Chatham and Wake counties. Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee secured renomination in a narrow March 2026 primary victory over challenger Nida Allam and now faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district’s voting history and the absence of competitive polling or significant fundraising by the Republican nominee. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$45,730終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 4th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23, encompassing Durham, Orange, and portions of Chatham and Wake counties. Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee secured renomination in a narrow March 2026 primary victory over challenger Nida Allam and now faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district’s voting history and the absence of competitive polling or significant fundraising by the Republican nominee. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$45,730終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 4th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23, encompassing Durham, Orange, and portions of Chatham and Wake counties. Incumbent Democrat Valerie Foushee secured renomination in a narrow March 2026 primary victory over challenger Nida Allam and now faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district’s voting history and the absence of competitive polling or significant fundraising by the Republican nominee. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with structural fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan swing could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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