Virginia's 10th congressional district maintains a D+6 Partisan Voter Index and carries Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent suburban Democratic performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam, who won the seat in 2024, faces primary opposition on August 4 while Republicans field multiple challengers for their own primary. A proposed constitutional amendment for mid-decade redistricting passed in April 2026 but was struck down by the Virginia Supreme Court in May, leaving the existing map unchanged for the November general election. These structural factors and the early stage of the cycle underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
19%
民主党
58%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
$267 Vol.
19%
民主党
$313 Vol.
58%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 10th congressional district maintains a D+6 Partisan Voter Index and carries Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent suburban Democratic performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam, who won the seat in 2024, faces primary opposition on August 4 while Republicans field multiple challengers for their own primary. A proposed constitutional amendment for mid-decade redistricting passed in April 2026 but was struck down by the Virginia Supreme Court in May, leaving the existing map unchanged for the November general election. These structural factors and the early stage of the cycle underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$580終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 10th congressional district maintains a D+6 Partisan Voter Index and carries Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent suburban Democratic performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam, who won the seat in 2024, faces primary opposition on August 4 while Republicans field multiple challengers for their own primary. A proposed constitutional amendment for mid-decade redistricting passed in April 2026 but was struck down by the Virginia Supreme Court in May, leaving the existing map unchanged for the November general election. These structural factors and the early stage of the cycle underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$580終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 10th congressional district maintains a D+6 Partisan Voter Index and carries Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent suburban Democratic performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Suhas Subramanyam, who won the seat in 2024, faces primary opposition on August 4 while Republicans field multiple challengers for their own primary. A proposed constitutional amendment for mid-decade redistricting passed in April 2026 but was struck down by the Virginia Supreme Court in May, leaving the existing map unchanged for the November general election. These structural factors and the early stage of the cycle underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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