Republican incumbent Keith Self secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80% of the vote in Texas’s 3rd Congressional District, facing Democrat Evan Hunt in the November general election. The district, encompassing Collin County suburbs and eastern rural areas, delivered Republican presidential margins of roughly 10–20 points in 2024, consistent with its Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Redistricting and the absence of a competitive Democratic primary or notable national headwinds have reinforced the partisan baseline. Traders assign the Republican Party an 86% implied probability, reflecting the incumbent’s fundraising edge, limited crossover appeal for the challenger, and historical midterm patterns in safely held GOP seats. The Democratic nominee’s path remains narrow absent major shifts in turnout or late-cycle developments before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,761 Vol.
$14,761 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
86%
民主党
11%
$14,761 Vol.
$14,761 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,806 Vol.
86%
民主党
$6,955 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Keith Self secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80% of the vote in Texas’s 3rd Congressional District, facing Democrat Evan Hunt in the November general election. The district, encompassing Collin County suburbs and eastern rural areas, delivered Republican presidential margins of roughly 10–20 points in 2024, consistent with its Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Redistricting and the absence of a competitive Democratic primary or notable national headwinds have reinforced the partisan baseline. Traders assign the Republican Party an 86% implied probability, reflecting the incumbent’s fundraising edge, limited crossover appeal for the challenger, and historical midterm patterns in safely held GOP seats. The Democratic nominee’s path remains narrow absent major shifts in turnout or late-cycle developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$14,761終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Keith Self secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80% of the vote in Texas’s 3rd Congressional District, facing Democrat Evan Hunt in the November general election. The district, encompassing Collin County suburbs and eastern rural areas, delivered Republican presidential margins of roughly 10–20 points in 2024, consistent with its Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Redistricting and the absence of a competitive Democratic primary or notable national headwinds have reinforced the partisan baseline. Traders assign the Republican Party an 86% implied probability, reflecting the incumbent’s fundraising edge, limited crossover appeal for the challenger, and historical midterm patterns in safely held GOP seats. The Democratic nominee’s path remains narrow absent major shifts in turnout or late-cycle developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,761終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Keith Self secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with over 80% of the vote in Texas’s 3rd Congressional District, facing Democrat Evan Hunt in the November general election. The district, encompassing Collin County suburbs and eastern rural areas, delivered Republican presidential margins of roughly 10–20 points in 2024, consistent with its Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Redistricting and the absence of a competitive Democratic primary or notable national headwinds have reinforced the partisan baseline. Traders assign the Republican Party an 86% implied probability, reflecting the incumbent’s fundraising edge, limited crossover appeal for the challenger, and historical midterm patterns in safely held GOP seats. The Democratic nominee’s path remains narrow absent major shifts in turnout or late-cycle developments before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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