Incumbent Republican Keith Self's decisive win in the March 3 Texas primary has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP hold in TX-03, a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report following mid-decade redistricting that added rural eastern counties bolstering its partisan lean. Self faces Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force veteran, in the November 3 general election, but the race lacks competitive polling or fundraising parity, with Self maintaining a financial edge amid historical GOP margins exceeding 20 points. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, or national midterm waves, structural advantages like incumbency and suburban Collin County dominance sustain the high implied probability for Republicans.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,122 Vol.
$12,122 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
88%
民主党
11%
$12,122 Vol.
$12,122 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$6,560 Vol.
88%
民主党
$5,563 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Keith Self's decisive win in the March 3 Texas primary has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP hold in TX-03, a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report following mid-decade redistricting that added rural eastern counties bolstering its partisan lean. Self faces Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force veteran, in the November 3 general election, but the race lacks competitive polling or fundraising parity, with Self maintaining a financial edge amid historical GOP margins exceeding 20 points. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, or national midterm waves, structural advantages like incumbency and suburban Collin County dominance sustain the high implied probability for Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$12,122終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Keith Self's decisive win in the March 3 Texas primary has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP hold in TX-03, a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report following mid-decade redistricting that added rural eastern counties bolstering its partisan lean. Self faces Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force veteran, in the November 3 general election, but the race lacks competitive polling or fundraising parity, with Self maintaining a financial edge amid historical GOP margins exceeding 20 points. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, or national midterm waves, structural advantages like incumbency and suburban Collin County dominance sustain the high implied probability for Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,122終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Keith Self's decisive win in the March 3 Texas primary has solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for a GOP hold in TX-03, a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report following mid-decade redistricting that added rural eastern counties bolstering its partisan lean. Self faces Democratic nominee Evan Hunt, a retired Air Force veteran, in the November 3 general election, but the race lacks competitive polling or fundraising parity, with Self maintaining a financial edge amid historical GOP margins exceeding 20 points. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues, or national midterm waves, structural advantages like incumbency and suburban Collin County dominance sustain the high implied probability for Republicans.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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