Steve Womack, the longtime Republican incumbent, faces Democratic nominee Robb Ryerse in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Womack advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while fundraising reports show substantial Republican resources and minimal Democratic competition. The district’s consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House cycles underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. A shift in odds would require a major unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
9%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,026 Vol.
92%
民主党
$767 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steve Womack, the longtime Republican incumbent, faces Democratic nominee Robb Ryerse in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Womack advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while fundraising reports show substantial Republican resources and minimal Democratic competition. The district’s consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House cycles underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. A shift in odds would require a major unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$7,793終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steve Womack, the longtime Republican incumbent, faces Democratic nominee Robb Ryerse in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Womack advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while fundraising reports show substantial Republican resources and minimal Democratic competition. The district’s consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House cycles underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. A shift in odds would require a major unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,793終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Steve Womack, the longtime Republican incumbent, faces Democratic nominee Robb Ryerse in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Womack advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary, while fundraising reports show substantial Republican resources and minimal Democratic competition. The district’s consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House cycles underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. A shift in odds would require a major unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問