Incumbent Republican French Hill, who secured his party's nomination with over three-quarters of the primary vote in March, faces Democrat Chris Jones in the November 3 general election for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District. The seat, encompassing Little Rock and surrounding central Arkansas counties, has remained in Republican hands for more than a decade, with Hill winning reelection by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan lean and limited Democratic success in flipping similar seats. With no major polling shifts or late developments reported since the primaries, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and local voting patterns favoring the Republican nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
87%
民主党
12%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,322 Vol.
87%
民主党
$5,930 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill, who secured his party's nomination with over three-quarters of the primary vote in March, faces Democrat Chris Jones in the November 3 general election for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District. The seat, encompassing Little Rock and surrounding central Arkansas counties, has remained in Republican hands for more than a decade, with Hill winning reelection by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan lean and limited Democratic success in flipping similar seats. With no major polling shifts or late developments reported since the primaries, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and local voting patterns favoring the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$8,252終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill, who secured his party's nomination with over three-quarters of the primary vote in March, faces Democrat Chris Jones in the November 3 general election for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District. The seat, encompassing Little Rock and surrounding central Arkansas counties, has remained in Republican hands for more than a decade, with Hill winning reelection by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan lean and limited Democratic success in flipping similar seats. With no major polling shifts or late developments reported since the primaries, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and local voting patterns favoring the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,252終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican French Hill, who secured his party's nomination with over three-quarters of the primary vote in March, faces Democrat Chris Jones in the November 3 general election for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District. The seat, encompassing Little Rock and surrounding central Arkansas counties, has remained in Republican hands for more than a decade, with Hill winning reelection by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan lean and limited Democratic success in flipping similar seats. With no major polling shifts or late developments reported since the primaries, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and local voting patterns favoring the Republican nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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