Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford seeks a ninth term in Arkansas's 1st congressional district, a solidly Republican area covering northeast Arkansas and parts of the Delta, where he secured 72.9% of the vote in 2024. Both major-party primaries in March 2026 were uncontested, leaving Crawford to face Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green and Libertarian Steve Parsons in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan composition and Crawford's substantial fundraising edge. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,556 Vol.
$26,556 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
96%
民主党
1%
$26,556 Vol.
$26,556 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$16,297 Vol.
96%
民主党
$10,259 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford seeks a ninth term in Arkansas's 1st congressional district, a solidly Republican area covering northeast Arkansas and parts of the Delta, where he secured 72.9% of the vote in 2024. Both major-party primaries in March 2026 were uncontested, leaving Crawford to face Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green and Libertarian Steve Parsons in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan composition and Crawford's substantial fundraising edge. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$26,556終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford seeks a ninth term in Arkansas's 1st congressional district, a solidly Republican area covering northeast Arkansas and parts of the Delta, where he secured 72.9% of the vote in 2024. Both major-party primaries in March 2026 were uncontested, leaving Crawford to face Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green and Libertarian Steve Parsons in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan composition and Crawford's substantial fundraising edge. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,556終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford seeks a ninth term in Arkansas's 1st congressional district, a solidly Republican area covering northeast Arkansas and parts of the Delta, where he secured 72.9% of the vote in 2024. Both major-party primaries in March 2026 were uncontested, leaving Crawford to face Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green and Libertarian Steve Parsons in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan composition and Crawford's substantial fundraising edge. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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