Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s strong Republican lean and his established record since 2011. The seat’s partisan voting index and Crawford’s 2024 margin exceeding 48 points underscore limited Democratic opportunities in this rural northeastern Arkansas district. Primaries for both parties concluded without contest in March 2026, leaving Crawford facing Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green and a Libertarian candidate. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for solidly Republican House districts, though late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,774 Vol.
$18,774 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
93%
民主党
6%
$18,774 Vol.
$18,774 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$11,178 Vol.
93%
民主党
$7,596 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s strong Republican lean and his established record since 2011. The seat’s partisan voting index and Crawford’s 2024 margin exceeding 48 points underscore limited Democratic opportunities in this rural northeastern Arkansas district. Primaries for both parties concluded without contest in March 2026, leaving Crawford facing Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green and a Libertarian candidate. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for solidly Republican House districts, though late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$18,774終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s strong Republican lean and his established record since 2011. The seat’s partisan voting index and Crawford’s 2024 margin exceeding 48 points underscore limited Democratic opportunities in this rural northeastern Arkansas district. Primaries for both parties concluded without contest in March 2026, leaving Crawford facing Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green and a Libertarian candidate. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for solidly Republican House districts, though late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,774終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford holds a commanding position in Arkansas’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s strong Republican lean and his established record since 2011. The seat’s partisan voting index and Crawford’s 2024 margin exceeding 48 points underscore limited Democratic opportunities in this rural northeastern Arkansas district. Primaries for both parties concluded without contest in March 2026, leaving Crawford facing Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green and a Libertarian candidate. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical patterns for solidly Republican House districts, though late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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