Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s established Republican lean on Long Island’s South Shore. Garbarino advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Patrick Halpin secured his party’s nomination. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid or Lean Republican, consistent with Garbarino’s 2024 margin and the district’s voting patterns. Trader consensus at 84% for the Republican nominee incorporates this incumbency advantage and baseline partisan composition, with limited recent developments capable of shifting the outlook before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,131 Vol.
$17,131 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
84%
民主党
17%
$17,131 Vol.
$17,131 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$6,705 Vol.
84%
民主党
$10,426 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s established Republican lean on Long Island’s South Shore. Garbarino advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Patrick Halpin secured his party’s nomination. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid or Lean Republican, consistent with Garbarino’s 2024 margin and the district’s voting patterns. Trader consensus at 84% for the Republican nominee incorporates this incumbency advantage and baseline partisan composition, with limited recent developments capable of shifting the outlook before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$17,131終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s established Republican lean on Long Island’s South Shore. Garbarino advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Patrick Halpin secured his party’s nomination. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid or Lean Republican, consistent with Garbarino’s 2024 margin and the district’s voting patterns. Trader consensus at 84% for the Republican nominee incorporates this incumbency advantage and baseline partisan composition, with limited recent developments capable of shifting the outlook before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,131終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s established Republican lean on Long Island’s South Shore. Garbarino advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Patrick Halpin secured his party’s nomination. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid or Lean Republican, consistent with Garbarino’s 2024 margin and the district’s voting patterns. Trader consensus at 84% for the Republican nominee incorporates this incumbency advantage and baseline partisan composition, with limited recent developments capable of shifting the outlook before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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