Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island that he carried by roughly 10 points in 2024. LaLota advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Christopher Gallant emerged from a contested primary to become the general-election nominee. The district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent House and presidential voting, combined with LaLota’s incumbency advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and constituent services, underpin trader expectations that the seat will remain in Republican hands on November 3. No major late-cycle developments have altered this positioning since the primaries concluded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$37,182 Vol.
$37,182 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
78%
民主党
23%
$37,182 Vol.
$37,182 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$12,977 Vol.
78%
民主党
$24,204 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island that he carried by roughly 10 points in 2024. LaLota advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Christopher Gallant emerged from a contested primary to become the general-election nominee. The district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent House and presidential voting, combined with LaLota’s incumbency advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and constituent services, underpin trader expectations that the seat will remain in Republican hands on November 3. No major late-cycle developments have altered this positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$37,182終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island that he carried by roughly 10 points in 2024. LaLota advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Christopher Gallant emerged from a contested primary to become the general-election nominee. The district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent House and presidential voting, combined with LaLota’s incumbency advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and constituent services, underpin trader expectations that the seat will remain in Republican hands on November 3. No major late-cycle developments have altered this positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$37,182終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island that he carried by roughly 10 points in 2024. LaLota advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Christopher Gallant emerged from a contested primary to become the general-election nominee. The district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent House and presidential voting, combined with LaLota’s incumbency advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and constituent services, underpin trader expectations that the seat will remain in Republican hands on November 3. No major late-cycle developments have altered this positioning since the primaries concluded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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