Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. LaLota’s 2024 reelection margin and the district’s partisan voting index underpin trader positioning ahead of the June 23 primaries, where Democrats will select their nominee from a limited field including Christopher Gallant. A December 2025 poll showed LaLota narrowly ahead of the leading Democratic contender, consistent with the seat’s historical Republican tilt and low likelihood of a serious challenge in the current cycle. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major recent developments keep the race stable, with market odds reflecting the incumbent’s structural advantages and the district’s electoral math.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$30,697 Vol.
$30,697 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
55%
民主党
43%
$30,697 Vol.
$30,697 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$9,094 Vol.
55%
民主党
$21,604 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. LaLota’s 2024 reelection margin and the district’s partisan voting index underpin trader positioning ahead of the June 23 primaries, where Democrats will select their nominee from a limited field including Christopher Gallant. A December 2025 poll showed LaLota narrowly ahead of the leading Democratic contender, consistent with the seat’s historical Republican tilt and low likelihood of a serious challenge in the current cycle. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major recent developments keep the race stable, with market odds reflecting the incumbent’s structural advantages and the district’s electoral math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$30,697終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. LaLota’s 2024 reelection margin and the district’s partisan voting index underpin trader positioning ahead of the June 23 primaries, where Democrats will select their nominee from a limited field including Christopher Gallant. A December 2025 poll showed LaLota narrowly ahead of the leading Democratic contender, consistent with the seat’s historical Republican tilt and low likelihood of a serious challenge in the current cycle. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major recent developments keep the race stable, with market odds reflecting the incumbent’s structural advantages and the district’s electoral math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$30,697終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. LaLota’s 2024 reelection margin and the district’s partisan voting index underpin trader positioning ahead of the June 23 primaries, where Democrats will select their nominee from a limited field including Christopher Gallant. A December 2025 poll showed LaLota narrowly ahead of the leading Democratic contender, consistent with the seat’s historical Republican tilt and low likelihood of a serious challenge in the current cycle. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major recent developments keep the race stable, with market odds reflecting the incumbent’s structural advantages and the district’s electoral math.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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