Ohio's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by incumbent Jim Jordan's consistent primary and general election performance, including a 68.5% share in 2024. The district's partisan voting index, rated R+21 by forecasters, combined with Jordan's unopposed Republican primary win and the absence of a high-profile Democratic challenger, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. All major nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that alters turnout patterns in this rural, conservative-leaning area ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,804 Vol.
$14,804 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$14,804 Vol.
$14,804 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$5,652 Vol.
94%
民主党
$9,152 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by incumbent Jim Jordan's consistent primary and general election performance, including a 68.5% share in 2024. The district's partisan voting index, rated R+21 by forecasters, combined with Jordan's unopposed Republican primary win and the absence of a high-profile Democratic challenger, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. All major nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that alters turnout patterns in this rural, conservative-leaning area ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$14,804終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by incumbent Jim Jordan's consistent primary and general election performance, including a 68.5% share in 2024. The district's partisan voting index, rated R+21 by forecasters, combined with Jordan's unopposed Republican primary win and the absence of a high-profile Democratic challenger, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. All major nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that alters turnout patterns in this rural, conservative-leaning area ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,804終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by incumbent Jim Jordan's consistent primary and general election performance, including a 68.5% share in 2024. The district's partisan voting index, rated R+21 by forecasters, combined with Jordan's unopposed Republican primary win and the absence of a high-profile Democratic challenger, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. All major nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that alters turnout patterns in this rural, conservative-leaning area ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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