Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng’s established position in the Queens-based NY-06 district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. The seat carries a D+6 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Democratic or Safe ratings from nonpartisan analysts, reflecting consistent Democratic performance despite a notable rightward shift among some voters in 2024. Meng’s substantial fundraising advantage and the upcoming June 23 Democratic primary, where she holds overwhelming market support over challenger Chuck Park, further reinforce expectations of an easy general-election path against the Republican nominee. A national Republican midterm wave or unusually strong turnout among specific demographic groups could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical results make such an outcome improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$5,405 Vol.
94%
共和党
$3,259 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng’s established position in the Queens-based NY-06 district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. The seat carries a D+6 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Democratic or Safe ratings from nonpartisan analysts, reflecting consistent Democratic performance despite a notable rightward shift among some voters in 2024. Meng’s substantial fundraising advantage and the upcoming June 23 Democratic primary, where she holds overwhelming market support over challenger Chuck Park, further reinforce expectations of an easy general-election path against the Republican nominee. A national Republican midterm wave or unusually strong turnout among specific demographic groups could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical results make such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$8,664終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng’s established position in the Queens-based NY-06 district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. The seat carries a D+6 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Democratic or Safe ratings from nonpartisan analysts, reflecting consistent Democratic performance despite a notable rightward shift among some voters in 2024. Meng’s substantial fundraising advantage and the upcoming June 23 Democratic primary, where she holds overwhelming market support over challenger Chuck Park, further reinforce expectations of an easy general-election path against the Republican nominee. A national Republican midterm wave or unusually strong turnout among specific demographic groups could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical results make such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,664終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng’s established position in the Queens-based NY-06 district underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. The seat carries a D+6 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Democratic or Safe ratings from nonpartisan analysts, reflecting consistent Democratic performance despite a notable rightward shift among some voters in 2024. Meng’s substantial fundraising advantage and the upcoming June 23 Democratic primary, where she holds overwhelming market support over challenger Chuck Park, further reinforce expectations of an easy general-election path against the Republican nominee. A national Republican midterm wave or unusually strong turnout among specific demographic groups could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical results make such an outcome improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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