Incumbent Grace Meng holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the NY-06 general election on November 3, driven by the district's solidly Democratic character in central and eastern Queens, her repeated primary and general election victories, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to Republican Joseph Chou's under $100,000. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan patterns and Meng's established support among key voting blocs. Chou, who advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats hold a clear registration and historical performance advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, unexpected turnout surges, or late developments affecting either candidate before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,609 Vol.
$21,609 Vol.
2026/11/02
グレース・メン（民主党）
95%
ジョセフ・チョウ（共和党）
6%
$21,609 Vol.
$21,609 Vol.
2026/11/02
グレース・メン（民主党）
$10,037 Vol.
95%
ジョセフ・チョウ（共和党）
$11,572 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Grace Meng holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the NY-06 general election on November 3, driven by the district's solidly Democratic character in central and eastern Queens, her repeated primary and general election victories, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to Republican Joseph Chou's under $100,000. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan patterns and Meng's established support among key voting blocs. Chou, who advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats hold a clear registration and historical performance advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, unexpected turnout surges, or late developments affecting either candidate before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$21,609終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Grace Meng holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the NY-06 general election on November 3, driven by the district's solidly Democratic character in central and eastern Queens, her repeated primary and general election victories, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to Republican Joseph Chou's under $100,000. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan patterns and Meng's established support among key voting blocs. Chou, who advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats hold a clear registration and historical performance advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, unexpected turnout surges, or late developments affecting either candidate before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,609終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Grace Meng holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the NY-06 general election on November 3, driven by the district's solidly Democratic character in central and eastern Queens, her repeated primary and general election victories, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to Republican Joseph Chou's under $100,000. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan patterns and Meng's established support among key voting blocs. Chou, who advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats hold a clear registration and historical performance advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, unexpected turnout surges, or late developments affecting either candidate before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問