Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng holds a commanding lead in New York’s 6th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s strong Democratic tilt and her established fundraising and organizational edge. The district, anchored in Queens neighborhoods such as Flushing and Jackson Heights, carries a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly six points and has been rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. A June 23 primary challenge from Chuck Park has not shifted trader consensus, while the Republican nominee Joseph Chou faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have historically prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited signs of such shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$5,405 Vol.
94%
共和党
$3,259 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng holds a commanding lead in New York’s 6th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s strong Democratic tilt and her established fundraising and organizational edge. The district, anchored in Queens neighborhoods such as Flushing and Jackson Heights, carries a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly six points and has been rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. A June 23 primary challenge from Chuck Park has not shifted trader consensus, while the Republican nominee Joseph Chou faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have historically prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited signs of such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$8,664終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng holds a commanding lead in New York’s 6th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s strong Democratic tilt and her established fundraising and organizational edge. The district, anchored in Queens neighborhoods such as Flushing and Jackson Heights, carries a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly six points and has been rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. A June 23 primary challenge from Chuck Park has not shifted trader consensus, while the Republican nominee Joseph Chou faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have historically prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited signs of such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,664終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Grace Meng holds a commanding lead in New York’s 6th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s strong Democratic tilt and her established fundraising and organizational edge. The district, anchored in Queens neighborhoods such as Flushing and Jackson Heights, carries a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly six points and has been rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. A June 23 primary challenge from Chuck Park has not shifted trader consensus, while the Republican nominee Joseph Chou faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have historically prevailed by wide margins. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though current evidence shows limited signs of such shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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