Florida's 19th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open seat after incumbent Byron Donalds launched a gubernatorial bid, yet trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 89.5% implied probability of victory. A new congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May and upheld by court ruling later that month further entrenches Republican structural advantages in the district, which posted consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles. Democratic primary contenders face filing deadlines in mid-June and an August 18 primary, but nonpartisan rating services classify the race as solid or safe Republican. No late-breaking developments have altered the balance ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
90%
民主党
9%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,641 Vol.
90%
民主党
$972 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open seat after incumbent Byron Donalds launched a gubernatorial bid, yet trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 89.5% implied probability of victory. A new congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May and upheld by court ruling later that month further entrenches Republican structural advantages in the district, which posted consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles. Democratic primary contenders face filing deadlines in mid-June and an August 18 primary, but nonpartisan rating services classify the race as solid or safe Republican. No late-breaking developments have altered the balance ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$3,613終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open seat after incumbent Byron Donalds launched a gubernatorial bid, yet trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 89.5% implied probability of victory. A new congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May and upheld by court ruling later that month further entrenches Republican structural advantages in the district, which posted consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles. Democratic primary contenders face filing deadlines in mid-June and an August 18 primary, but nonpartisan rating services classify the race as solid or safe Republican. No late-breaking developments have altered the balance ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,613終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open seat after incumbent Byron Donalds launched a gubernatorial bid, yet trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 89.5% implied probability of victory. A new congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May and upheld by court ruling later that month further entrenches Republican structural advantages in the district, which posted consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles. Democratic primary contenders face filing deadlines in mid-June and an August 18 primary, but nonpartisan rating services classify the race as solid or safe Republican. No late-breaking developments have altered the balance ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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