The Michigan 13th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its urban Detroit core and surrounding suburbs with high Democratic voter registration and consistent general election margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic victory. Incumbent Shri Thanedar holds the seat ahead of the August 2026 primary against challengers including Donavan McKinney, while Republican Taras Nykoriak represents limited opposition. Historical turnout patterns, fundraising advantages for Democratic candidates, and the absence of major redistricting or national shifts altering the district's partisan balance reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late scandal or health issue prompting a weak Democratic nominee, unusually high Republican mobilization, or broader electoral realignment, though structural barriers remain significant through the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,670 Vol.
$36,670 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
97%
共和党
1%
$36,670 Vol.
$36,670 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$22,468 Vol.
97%
共和党
$14,201 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 13th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its urban Detroit core and surrounding suburbs with high Democratic voter registration and consistent general election margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic victory. Incumbent Shri Thanedar holds the seat ahead of the August 2026 primary against challengers including Donavan McKinney, while Republican Taras Nykoriak represents limited opposition. Historical turnout patterns, fundraising advantages for Democratic candidates, and the absence of major redistricting or national shifts altering the district's partisan balance reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late scandal or health issue prompting a weak Democratic nominee, unusually high Republican mobilization, or broader electoral realignment, though structural barriers remain significant through the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$36,670終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 13th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its urban Detroit core and surrounding suburbs with high Democratic voter registration and consistent general election margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic victory. Incumbent Shri Thanedar holds the seat ahead of the August 2026 primary against challengers including Donavan McKinney, while Republican Taras Nykoriak represents limited opposition. Historical turnout patterns, fundraising advantages for Democratic candidates, and the absence of major redistricting or national shifts altering the district's partisan balance reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late scandal or health issue prompting a weak Democratic nominee, unusually high Republican mobilization, or broader electoral realignment, though structural barriers remain significant through the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$36,670終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Michigan 13th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its urban Detroit core and surrounding suburbs with high Democratic voter registration and consistent general election margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus on a Democratic victory. Incumbent Shri Thanedar holds the seat ahead of the August 2026 primary against challengers including Donavan McKinney, while Republican Taras Nykoriak represents limited opposition. Historical turnout patterns, fundraising advantages for Democratic candidates, and the absence of major redistricting or national shifts altering the district's partisan balance reinforce this positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late scandal or health issue prompting a weak Democratic nominee, unusually high Republican mobilization, or broader electoral realignment, though structural barriers remain significant through the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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