Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th congressional district by defeating two-term incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 4 primary by roughly four points, capitalizing on local dissatisfaction with constituent services and a preference for a Detroit-native candidate with state legislative experience. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, positions McKinney as the heavy favorite against Republican T.P. Nykoriak in the November general election. Nykoriak’s uncontested primary win and 2016 federal conviction for theft create additional structural barriers. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s voting history and the absence of competitive polling or late developments that would alter the outcome. Late-breaking scandals or turnout anomalies remain the primary theoretical risks to the frontrunner’s position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$49,552 Vol.
$49,552 Vol.
2026/11/02
ドナヴァン・マッキニー（民主党）
98%
T.P. ニコリアック（共和党）
<1%
$49,552 Vol.
$49,552 Vol.
2026/11/02
ドナヴァン・マッキニー（民主党）
$29,313 Vol.
98%
T.P. ニコリアック（共和党）
$20,239 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th congressional district by defeating two-term incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 4 primary by roughly four points, capitalizing on local dissatisfaction with constituent services and a preference for a Detroit-native candidate with state legislative experience. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, positions McKinney as the heavy favorite against Republican T.P. Nykoriak in the November general election. Nykoriak’s uncontested primary win and 2016 federal conviction for theft create additional structural barriers. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s voting history and the absence of competitive polling or late developments that would alter the outcome. Late-breaking scandals or turnout anomalies remain the primary theoretical risks to the frontrunner’s position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$49,552終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th congressional district by defeating two-term incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 4 primary by roughly four points, capitalizing on local dissatisfaction with constituent services and a preference for a Detroit-native candidate with state legislative experience. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, positions McKinney as the heavy favorite against Republican T.P. Nykoriak in the November general election. Nykoriak’s uncontested primary win and 2016 federal conviction for theft create additional structural barriers. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s voting history and the absence of competitive polling or late developments that would alter the outcome. Late-breaking scandals or turnout anomalies remain the primary theoretical risks to the frontrunner’s position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$49,552終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th congressional district by defeating two-term incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 4 primary by roughly four points, capitalizing on local dissatisfaction with constituent services and a preference for a Detroit-native candidate with state legislative experience. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, positions McKinney as the heavy favorite against Republican T.P. Nykoriak in the November general election. Nykoriak’s uncontested primary win and 2016 federal conviction for theft create additional structural barriers. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s voting history and the absence of competitive polling or late developments that would alter the outcome. Late-breaking scandals or turnout anomalies remain the primary theoretical risks to the frontrunner’s position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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