Sharice Davids, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with 83.4% of the vote and now faces Republican Eric Jenkins in the November 3 general election. The KS-03 district, encompassing suburban Kansas City areas, has delivered Davids consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles, reflecting its underlying Democratic lean in House contests despite mixed presidential results. Trader consensus at 88.5% for Democrats reflects this incumbency advantage, fundraising strength, and the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap against the Republican challenger. Historical patterns in similar districts further support the current implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,649 Vol.
$20,649 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
89%
共和党
11%
$20,649 Vol.
$20,649 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,045 Vol.
89%
共和党
$14,604 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sharice Davids, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with 83.4% of the vote and now faces Republican Eric Jenkins in the November 3 general election. The KS-03 district, encompassing suburban Kansas City areas, has delivered Davids consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles, reflecting its underlying Democratic lean in House contests despite mixed presidential results. Trader consensus at 88.5% for Democrats reflects this incumbency advantage, fundraising strength, and the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap against the Republican challenger. Historical patterns in similar districts further support the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$20,649終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sharice Davids, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with 83.4% of the vote and now faces Republican Eric Jenkins in the November 3 general election. The KS-03 district, encompassing suburban Kansas City areas, has delivered Davids consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles, reflecting its underlying Democratic lean in House contests despite mixed presidential results. Trader consensus at 88.5% for Democrats reflects this incumbency advantage, fundraising strength, and the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap against the Republican challenger. Historical patterns in similar districts further support the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$20,649終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sharice Davids, the Democratic incumbent since 2019, secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with 83.4% of the vote and now faces Republican Eric Jenkins in the November 3 general election. The KS-03 district, encompassing suburban Kansas City areas, has delivered Davids consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles, reflecting its underlying Democratic lean in House contests despite mixed presidential results. Trader consensus at 88.5% for Democrats reflects this incumbency advantage, fundraising strength, and the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap against the Republican challenger. Historical patterns in similar districts further support the current implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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