Democrat Janelle Stelson holds a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 10th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, with prediction markets assigning her party roughly 78% implied probability of victory. The rematch against incumbent Republican Scott Perry follows his narrow 2024 win by about 1.3 percentage points in this competitive south-central Pennsylvania seat. Stelson secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the May primary, benefits from substantial fundraising and endorsements including from Governor Josh Shapiro, and faces an incumbent drawing internal GOP criticism. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting midterm dynamics that historically challenge the president’s party alongside Perry’s limited margin for error in a district decided by low-single-digit margins in recent cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
78%
共和党
22%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,127 Vol.
78%
共和党
$2,682 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democrat Janelle Stelson holds a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 10th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, with prediction markets assigning her party roughly 78% implied probability of victory. The rematch against incumbent Republican Scott Perry follows his narrow 2024 win by about 1.3 percentage points in this competitive south-central Pennsylvania seat. Stelson secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the May primary, benefits from substantial fundraising and endorsements including from Governor Josh Shapiro, and faces an incumbent drawing internal GOP criticism. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting midterm dynamics that historically challenge the president’s party alongside Perry’s limited margin for error in a district decided by low-single-digit margins in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
音量
$5,810終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democrat Janelle Stelson holds a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 10th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, with prediction markets assigning her party roughly 78% implied probability of victory. The rematch against incumbent Republican Scott Perry follows his narrow 2024 win by about 1.3 percentage points in this competitive south-central Pennsylvania seat. Stelson secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the May primary, benefits from substantial fundraising and endorsements including from Governor Josh Shapiro, and faces an incumbent drawing internal GOP criticism. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting midterm dynamics that historically challenge the president’s party alongside Perry’s limited margin for error in a district decided by low-single-digit margins in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,810終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Democrat Janelle Stelson holds a strong position in Pennsylvania’s 10th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, with prediction markets assigning her party roughly 78% implied probability of victory. The rematch against incumbent Republican Scott Perry follows his narrow 2024 win by about 1.3 percentage points in this competitive south-central Pennsylvania seat. Stelson secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the May primary, benefits from substantial fundraising and endorsements including from Governor Josh Shapiro, and faces an incumbent drawing internal GOP criticism. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting midterm dynamics that historically challenge the president’s party alongside Perry’s limited margin for error in a district decided by low-single-digit margins in recent cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問