California's 14th congressional district, located in the Bay Area and rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, features a November general election matchup between two Democratic candidates—Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez—after both advanced through the state's top-two primary. The district's partisan composition and voting history have produced consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic Party outcome. Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation and the subsequent special election, won by Wahab, reinforced continuity without altering the underlying balance. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or voter preference in this safely Democratic seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$35,762 Vol.
$35,762 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
97%
共和党
<1%
$35,762 Vol.
$35,762 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$14,006 Vol.
97%
共和党
$21,756 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th congressional district, located in the Bay Area and rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, features a November general election matchup between two Democratic candidates—Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez—after both advanced through the state's top-two primary. The district's partisan composition and voting history have produced consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic Party outcome. Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation and the subsequent special election, won by Wahab, reinforced continuity without altering the underlying balance. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or voter preference in this safely Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
音量
$35,762終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th congressional district, located in the Bay Area and rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, features a November general election matchup between two Democratic candidates—Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez—after both advanced through the state's top-two primary. The district's partisan composition and voting history have produced consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic Party outcome. Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation and the subsequent special election, won by Wahab, reinforced continuity without altering the underlying balance. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or voter preference in this safely Democratic seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$35,762終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...California's 14th congressional district, located in the Bay Area and rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, features a November general election matchup between two Democratic candidates—Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez—after both advanced through the state's top-two primary. The district's partisan composition and voting history have produced consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic Party outcome. Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation and the subsequent special election, won by Wahab, reinforced continuity without altering the underlying balance. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or voter preference in this safely Democratic seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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