Incumbent Democratic Representative Josh Harder advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 9th congressional district, securing over 57 percent of the vote against a fragmented Republican field. The district's partisan voting index and recent redistricting have shifted it firmly into Democratic territory, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the party. This positioning underpins trader consensus reflected in the current market prices. A Republican victory in the November general election would require substantial shifts in voter turnout, national political conditions, or unforeseen developments affecting the candidates between now and Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,059 Vol.
$15,059 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$15,059 Vol.
$15,059 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$11,243 Vol.
94%
共和党
$3,817 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Josh Harder advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 9th congressional district, securing over 57 percent of the vote against a fragmented Republican field. The district's partisan voting index and recent redistricting have shifted it firmly into Democratic territory, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the party. This positioning underpins trader consensus reflected in the current market prices. A Republican victory in the November general election would require substantial shifts in voter turnout, national political conditions, or unforeseen developments affecting the candidates between now and Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
音量
$15,059終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Josh Harder advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 9th congressional district, securing over 57 percent of the vote against a fragmented Republican field. The district's partisan voting index and recent redistricting have shifted it firmly into Democratic territory, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the party. This positioning underpins trader consensus reflected in the current market prices. A Republican victory in the November general election would require substantial shifts in voter turnout, national political conditions, or unforeseen developments affecting the candidates between now and Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,059終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Josh Harder advanced comfortably from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 9th congressional district, securing over 57 percent of the vote against a fragmented Republican field. The district's partisan voting index and recent redistricting have shifted it firmly into Democratic territory, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the party. This positioning underpins trader consensus reflected in the current market prices. A Republican victory in the November general election would require substantial shifts in voter turnout, national political conditions, or unforeseen developments affecting the candidates between now and Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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