The open IL-08 seat, vacated by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, sits in a suburban Chicago district with consistent Democratic voting patterns and favorable partisan lean. Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with strong name recognition from prior service in the seat, while Jennifer Davis emerged as the Republican nominee. Fundraising and independent analyses continue to favor the Democratic side ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district’s structural advantages and lack of recent developments that would signal a competitive contest. A national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or significant shifts in local voter priorities remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,799 Vol.
93%
共和党
$5,132 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open IL-08 seat, vacated by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, sits in a suburban Chicago district with consistent Democratic voting patterns and favorable partisan lean. Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with strong name recognition from prior service in the seat, while Jennifer Davis emerged as the Republican nominee. Fundraising and independent analyses continue to favor the Democratic side ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district’s structural advantages and lack of recent developments that would signal a competitive contest. A national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or significant shifts in local voter priorities remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$8,931終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open IL-08 seat, vacated by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, sits in a suburban Chicago district with consistent Democratic voting patterns and favorable partisan lean. Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with strong name recognition from prior service in the seat, while Jennifer Davis emerged as the Republican nominee. Fundraising and independent analyses continue to favor the Democratic side ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district’s structural advantages and lack of recent developments that would signal a competitive contest. A national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or significant shifts in local voter priorities remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,931終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open IL-08 seat, vacated by Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, sits in a suburban Chicago district with consistent Democratic voting patterns and favorable partisan lean. Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with strong name recognition from prior service in the seat, while Jennifer Davis emerged as the Republican nominee. Fundraising and independent analyses continue to favor the Democratic side ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district’s structural advantages and lack of recent developments that would signal a competitive contest. A national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or significant shifts in local voter priorities remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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