Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann seeks re-election in Kansas’s 1st congressional district, a solidly conservative rural seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16. Primary contests on August 4, 2026, feature Mann facing limited intraparty opposition alongside a pair of Democratic primary candidates, while forecasters rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. Mann’s prior 69 percent general-election margin, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring continued GOP control. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Democratic nominee, significant national political realignment before November 3, or an unforeseen primary upset that weakens the Republican standard-bearer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,484 Vol.
94%
民主党
$3,539 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann seeks re-election in Kansas’s 1st congressional district, a solidly conservative rural seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16. Primary contests on August 4, 2026, feature Mann facing limited intraparty opposition alongside a pair of Democratic primary candidates, while forecasters rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. Mann’s prior 69 percent general-election margin, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring continued GOP control. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Democratic nominee, significant national political realignment before November 3, or an unforeseen primary upset that weakens the Republican standard-bearer.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$8,022終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann seeks re-election in Kansas’s 1st congressional district, a solidly conservative rural seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16. Primary contests on August 4, 2026, feature Mann facing limited intraparty opposition alongside a pair of Democratic primary candidates, while forecasters rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. Mann’s prior 69 percent general-election margin, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring continued GOP control. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Democratic nominee, significant national political realignment before November 3, or an unforeseen primary upset that weakens the Republican standard-bearer.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,022終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann seeks re-election in Kansas’s 1st congressional district, a solidly conservative rural seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16. Primary contests on August 4, 2026, feature Mann facing limited intraparty opposition alongside a pair of Democratic primary candidates, while forecasters rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. Mann’s prior 69 percent general-election margin, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring continued GOP control. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong Democratic nominee, significant national political realignment before November 3, or an unforeseen primary upset that weakens the Republican standard-bearer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問