Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, his status as incumbent seeking a fourth term, and decisive primary victories in August 2026. Mann defeated his Republican challenger by a wide margin while Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold advanced after her own primary win, but the large rural district’s voting patterns and historical results favor the GOP nominee. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican. Mann’s substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his high implied probability. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, major shifts in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the likelihood of such changes before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,952 Vol.
$17,952 Vol.
2026/11/02
トレイシー・マン（共和党）
94%
ローレン・ラインホールド（民主党）
6%
$17,952 Vol.
$17,952 Vol.
2026/11/02
トレイシー・マン（共和党）
$6,237 Vol.
94%
ローレン・ラインホールド（民主党）
$11,716 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, his status as incumbent seeking a fourth term, and decisive primary victories in August 2026. Mann defeated his Republican challenger by a wide margin while Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold advanced after her own primary win, but the large rural district’s voting patterns and historical results favor the GOP nominee. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican. Mann’s substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his high implied probability. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, major shifts in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the likelihood of such changes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$17,952終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, his status as incumbent seeking a fourth term, and decisive primary victories in August 2026. Mann defeated his Republican challenger by a wide margin while Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold advanced after her own primary win, but the large rural district’s voting patterns and historical results favor the GOP nominee. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican. Mann’s substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his high implied probability. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, major shifts in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the likelihood of such changes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,952終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, his status as incumbent seeking a fourth term, and decisive primary victories in August 2026. Mann defeated his Republican challenger by a wide margin while Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold advanced after her own primary win, but the large rural district’s voting patterns and historical results favor the GOP nominee. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican. Mann’s substantial fundraising edge further reinforces trader consensus around his high implied probability. Late developments such as unexpected scandals, major shifts in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the likelihood of such changes before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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