Mayes Middleton secured the Republican nomination after defeating U.S. Rep. Chip Roy in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him as the clear frontrunner to succeed Ken Paxton in the open-seat race. Texas's longstanding Republican advantage in statewide contests supports the elevated implied probability for the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent polling indicates a tighter contest than historical norms, with Middleton at 40% and Democrat Nathan Johnson at 35% among registered voters, alongside over 20% undecided. Johnson's Democratic primary runoff win and the race's competitive dynamics reflect broader state trends, including softening support for some Republican figures, though the structural partisan lean continues to shape trader assessments of likely outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
メイズ・ミドルトン（共和党）
79%
ネイサン・ジョンソン（民主党）
18%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
メイズ・ミドルトン（共和党）
$290 Vol.
79%
ネイサン・ジョンソン（民主党）
$42 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Mayes Middleton secured the Republican nomination after defeating U.S. Rep. Chip Roy in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him as the clear frontrunner to succeed Ken Paxton in the open-seat race. Texas's longstanding Republican advantage in statewide contests supports the elevated implied probability for the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent polling indicates a tighter contest than historical norms, with Middleton at 40% and Democrat Nathan Johnson at 35% among registered voters, alongside over 20% undecided. Johnson's Democratic primary runoff win and the race's competitive dynamics reflect broader state trends, including softening support for some Republican figures, though the structural partisan lean continues to shape trader assessments of likely outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 1:50 PM ET
音量
$332終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 1:50 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Mayes Middleton secured the Republican nomination after defeating U.S. Rep. Chip Roy in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him as the clear frontrunner to succeed Ken Paxton in the open-seat race. Texas's longstanding Republican advantage in statewide contests supports the elevated implied probability for the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent polling indicates a tighter contest than historical norms, with Middleton at 40% and Democrat Nathan Johnson at 35% among registered voters, alongside over 20% undecided. Johnson's Democratic primary runoff win and the race's competitive dynamics reflect broader state trends, including softening support for some Republican figures, though the structural partisan lean continues to shape trader assessments of likely outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
音量
$332終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 1:50 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Mayes Middleton secured the Republican nomination after defeating U.S. Rep. Chip Roy in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him as the clear frontrunner to succeed Ken Paxton in the open-seat race. Texas's longstanding Republican advantage in statewide contests supports the elevated implied probability for the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent polling indicates a tighter contest than historical norms, with Middleton at 40% and Democrat Nathan Johnson at 35% among registered voters, alongside over 20% undecided. Johnson's Democratic primary runoff win and the race's competitive dynamics reflect broader state trends, including softening support for some Republican figures, though the structural partisan lean continues to shape trader assessments of likely outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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