The open seat in Texas's 23rd congressional district, following incumbent Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid ethics issues tied to a staffer scandal, has positioned Republican nominee Brandon Herrera as the frontrunner against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout. Most independent ratings classify the race as Likely Republican, reflecting the district's recent partisan shifts toward the GOP in border and Hispanic voting areas, along with Herrera's primary success. Democrats added the seat to their target list in August 2026 and released early polling showing Stout competitive, though limited subsequent surveys and the district's voting history have kept Republican implied probabilities near 70 percent in trader assessments. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for further campaign developments or national midterm dynamics to influence the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,114 Vol.
$39,114 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
71%
民主党
31%
$39,114 Vol.
$39,114 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$23,045 Vol.
71%
民主党
$16,069 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Texas's 23rd congressional district, following incumbent Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid ethics issues tied to a staffer scandal, has positioned Republican nominee Brandon Herrera as the frontrunner against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout. Most independent ratings classify the race as Likely Republican, reflecting the district's recent partisan shifts toward the GOP in border and Hispanic voting areas, along with Herrera's primary success. Democrats added the seat to their target list in August 2026 and released early polling showing Stout competitive, though limited subsequent surveys and the district's voting history have kept Republican implied probabilities near 70 percent in trader assessments. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for further campaign developments or national midterm dynamics to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$39,114終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Texas's 23rd congressional district, following incumbent Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid ethics issues tied to a staffer scandal, has positioned Republican nominee Brandon Herrera as the frontrunner against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout. Most independent ratings classify the race as Likely Republican, reflecting the district's recent partisan shifts toward the GOP in border and Hispanic voting areas, along with Herrera's primary success. Democrats added the seat to their target list in August 2026 and released early polling showing Stout competitive, though limited subsequent surveys and the district's voting history have kept Republican implied probabilities near 70 percent in trader assessments. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for further campaign developments or national midterm dynamics to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,114終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Texas's 23rd congressional district, following incumbent Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid ethics issues tied to a staffer scandal, has positioned Republican nominee Brandon Herrera as the frontrunner against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout. Most independent ratings classify the race as Likely Republican, reflecting the district's recent partisan shifts toward the GOP in border and Hispanic voting areas, along with Herrera's primary success. Democrats added the seat to their target list in August 2026 and released early polling showing Stout competitive, though limited subsequent surveys and the district's voting history have kept Republican implied probabilities near 70 percent in trader assessments. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for further campaign developments or national midterm dynamics to influence the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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