The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Texas's 23rd congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, including strong support for the party's presidential candidate in 2024. Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew from a March 2026 primary runoff amid a House ethics investigation tied to personal conduct allegations; Gonzales later resigned from Congress in April, leaving the seat vacant. Katy Padilla Stout won the Democratic primary outright. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election as likely Republican, though Democrats have reserved advertising and highlighted Herrera's profile in polling that shows some narrowing. Trader pricing reflects the district's structural tilt alongside limited recent shifts from the open-seat contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,114 Vol.
$39,114 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
69%
民主党
32%
$39,114 Vol.
$39,114 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$23,045 Vol.
69%
民主党
$16,069 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Texas's 23rd congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, including strong support for the party's presidential candidate in 2024. Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew from a March 2026 primary runoff amid a House ethics investigation tied to personal conduct allegations; Gonzales later resigned from Congress in April, leaving the seat vacant. Katy Padilla Stout won the Democratic primary outright. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election as likely Republican, though Democrats have reserved advertising and highlighted Herrera's profile in polling that shows some narrowing. Trader pricing reflects the district's structural tilt alongside limited recent shifts from the open-seat contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$39,114終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Texas's 23rd congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, including strong support for the party's presidential candidate in 2024. Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew from a March 2026 primary runoff amid a House ethics investigation tied to personal conduct allegations; Gonzales later resigned from Congress in April, leaving the seat vacant. Katy Padilla Stout won the Democratic primary outright. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election as likely Republican, though Democrats have reserved advertising and highlighted Herrera's profile in polling that shows some narrowing. Trader pricing reflects the district's structural tilt alongside limited recent shifts from the open-seat contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,114終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Texas's 23rd congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, including strong support for the party's presidential candidate in 2024. Brandon Herrera secured the GOP nomination after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew from a March 2026 primary runoff amid a House ethics investigation tied to personal conduct allegations; Gonzales later resigned from Congress in April, leaving the seat vacant. Katy Padilla Stout won the Democratic primary outright. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election as likely Republican, though Democrats have reserved advertising and highlighted Herrera's profile in polling that shows some narrowing. Trader pricing reflects the district's structural tilt alongside limited recent shifts from the open-seat contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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