Republican nominee Brandon Herrera holds a strong lead in the TX-23 general election market following the withdrawal of scandal-plagued incumbent Tony Gonzales from the Republican primary runoff. Gonzales resigned his seat in April 2026 amid an ethics investigation tied to an admitted affair. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout secured her party's nomination after the March primary. Recent polling shows the race narrowing to within a few points in head-to-head matchups, though the district's longstanding Republican tilt and Herrera's primary performance keep GOP traders favored. The November 3 contest features limited independent candidates and no major scheduled debates or endorsements yet altering the positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,834 Vol.
$23,834 Vol.
共和党
76%
民主党
25%
$23,834 Vol.
$23,834 Vol.
共和党
76%
民主党
25%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Brandon Herrera holds a strong lead in the TX-23 general election market following the withdrawal of scandal-plagued incumbent Tony Gonzales from the Republican primary runoff. Gonzales resigned his seat in April 2026 amid an ethics investigation tied to an admitted affair. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout secured her party's nomination after the March primary. Recent polling shows the race narrowing to within a few points in head-to-head matchups, though the district's longstanding Republican tilt and Herrera's primary performance keep GOP traders favored. The November 3 contest features limited independent candidates and no major scheduled debates or endorsements yet altering the positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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