Alabama's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting index ratings around R+27 and consistent "Solid Republican" assessments from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The seat opened after incumbent Barry Moore advanced toward a Senate bid, drawing multiple Republican primary entrants such as Jerry Carl and Rhett Marques for the August 11 contest, while Democrat Clyde Jones faces minimal opposition on his side. Ongoing redistricting litigation has delayed primaries from May and introduced map uncertainty, yet the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure sustain the lopsided trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from a late primary surprise, major candidate scandal, or court-ordered boundary changes that meaningfully alter the electorate before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$37,674 Vol.
$37,674 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$37,674 Vol.
$37,674 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$18,083 Vol.
93%
民主党
$19,590 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting index ratings around R+27 and consistent "Solid Republican" assessments from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The seat opened after incumbent Barry Moore advanced toward a Senate bid, drawing multiple Republican primary entrants such as Jerry Carl and Rhett Marques for the August 11 contest, while Democrat Clyde Jones faces minimal opposition on his side. Ongoing redistricting litigation has delayed primaries from May and introduced map uncertainty, yet the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure sustain the lopsided trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from a late primary surprise, major candidate scandal, or court-ordered boundary changes that meaningfully alter the electorate before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
音量
$37,674終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting index ratings around R+27 and consistent "Solid Republican" assessments from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The seat opened after incumbent Barry Moore advanced toward a Senate bid, drawing multiple Republican primary entrants such as Jerry Carl and Rhett Marques for the August 11 contest, while Democrat Clyde Jones faces minimal opposition on his side. Ongoing redistricting litigation has delayed primaries from May and introduced map uncertainty, yet the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure sustain the lopsided trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from a late primary surprise, major candidate scandal, or court-ordered boundary changes that meaningfully alter the electorate before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$37,674終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting index ratings around R+27 and consistent "Solid Republican" assessments from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The seat opened after incumbent Barry Moore advanced toward a Senate bid, drawing multiple Republican primary entrants such as Jerry Carl and Rhett Marques for the August 11 contest, while Democrat Clyde Jones faces minimal opposition on his side. Ongoing redistricting litigation has delayed primaries from May and introduced map uncertainty, yet the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure sustain the lopsided trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from a late primary surprise, major candidate scandal, or court-ordered boundary changes that meaningfully alter the electorate before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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