Arizona's 5th congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Andy Biggs opted to run for governor, leaving a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and consistent Republican general-election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the current 80.5% Republican and 14.5% Democratic market prices. The July 21 Republican primary features Mark Lamb, who holds an endorsement from President Trump, against Daniel Keenan, while Democrats Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee recently debated in their primary. These factors, combined with the district's East Valley voter base and historical turnout patterns, underpin trader positioning ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,855 Vol.
$12,855 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
81%
民主党
15%
$12,855 Vol.
$12,855 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,158 Vol.
81%
民主党
$4,697 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Andy Biggs opted to run for governor, leaving a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and consistent Republican general-election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the current 80.5% Republican and 14.5% Democratic market prices. The July 21 Republican primary features Mark Lamb, who holds an endorsement from President Trump, against Daniel Keenan, while Democrats Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee recently debated in their primary. These factors, combined with the district's East Valley voter base and historical turnout patterns, underpin trader positioning ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$12,855終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Andy Biggs opted to run for governor, leaving a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and consistent Republican general-election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the current 80.5% Republican and 14.5% Democratic market prices. The July 21 Republican primary features Mark Lamb, who holds an endorsement from President Trump, against Daniel Keenan, while Democrats Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee recently debated in their primary. These factors, combined with the district's East Valley voter base and historical turnout patterns, underpin trader positioning ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,855終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 5th congressional district features an open seat after Republican incumbent Andy Biggs opted to run for governor, leaving a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and consistent Republican general-election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the current 80.5% Republican and 14.5% Democratic market prices. The July 21 Republican primary features Mark Lamb, who holds an endorsement from President Trump, against Daniel Keenan, while Democrats Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee recently debated in their primary. These factors, combined with the district's East Valley voter base and historical turnout patterns, underpin trader positioning ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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