Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 4th congressional district heading into the 2026 cycle, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic performance and the party's strong local voter base. McCollum faces a primary challenger but maintains broad party support ahead of the August 11 primary, while Republicans field multiple contenders with limited visibility or resources. The district's partisan composition and historical margins have shaped trader consensus on the general election outcome, with few recent developments suggesting a shift. Potential challenges could arise from an unexpected primary surprise, major national political realignment before November 3, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-visibility race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,370 Vol.
94%
共和党
$6,390 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 4th congressional district heading into the 2026 cycle, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic performance and the party's strong local voter base. McCollum faces a primary challenger but maintains broad party support ahead of the August 11 primary, while Republicans field multiple contenders with limited visibility or resources. The district's partisan composition and historical margins have shaped trader consensus on the general election outcome, with few recent developments suggesting a shift. Potential challenges could arise from an unexpected primary surprise, major national political realignment before November 3, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-visibility race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$9,760終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 4th congressional district heading into the 2026 cycle, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic performance and the party's strong local voter base. McCollum faces a primary challenger but maintains broad party support ahead of the August 11 primary, while Republicans field multiple contenders with limited visibility or resources. The district's partisan composition and historical margins have shaped trader consensus on the general election outcome, with few recent developments suggesting a shift. Potential challenges could arise from an unexpected primary surprise, major national political realignment before November 3, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-visibility race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,760終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 4th congressional district heading into the 2026 cycle, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic performance and the party's strong local voter base. McCollum faces a primary challenger but maintains broad party support ahead of the August 11 primary, while Republicans field multiple contenders with limited visibility or resources. The district's partisan composition and historical margins have shaped trader consensus on the general election outcome, with few recent developments suggesting a shift. Potential challenges could arise from an unexpected primary surprise, major national political realignment before November 3, or unusually high Republican turnout in a low-visibility race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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