Kelly Morrison, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, is seeking re-election in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district, which encompasses western Twin Cities suburbs. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of holding the seat in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s established partisan lean, Morrison’s prior 58% margin, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major shifts in voter registration or polling through mid-2026. Primary contests are scheduled for August, with the general election following standard congressional timelines. Late developments such as an unusually strong Republican nominee, national political realignment, or health-related withdrawal could still alter outcomes, though current evidence points to structural Democratic advantages in this suburban district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,058 Vol.
$10,058 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$10,058 Vol.
$10,058 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,165 Vol.
93%
共和党
$3,893 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kelly Morrison, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, is seeking re-election in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district, which encompasses western Twin Cities suburbs. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of holding the seat in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s established partisan lean, Morrison’s prior 58% margin, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major shifts in voter registration or polling through mid-2026. Primary contests are scheduled for August, with the general election following standard congressional timelines. Late developments such as an unusually strong Republican nominee, national political realignment, or health-related withdrawal could still alter outcomes, though current evidence points to structural Democratic advantages in this suburban district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$10,058終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kelly Morrison, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, is seeking re-election in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district, which encompasses western Twin Cities suburbs. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of holding the seat in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s established partisan lean, Morrison’s prior 58% margin, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major shifts in voter registration or polling through mid-2026. Primary contests are scheduled for August, with the general election following standard congressional timelines. Late developments such as an unusually strong Republican nominee, national political realignment, or health-related withdrawal could still alter outcomes, though current evidence points to structural Democratic advantages in this suburban district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,058終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kelly Morrison, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, is seeking re-election in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district, which encompasses western Twin Cities suburbs. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of holding the seat in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s established partisan lean, Morrison’s prior 58% margin, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major shifts in voter registration or polling through mid-2026. Primary contests are scheduled for August, with the general election following standard congressional timelines. Late developments such as an unusually strong Republican nominee, national political realignment, or health-related withdrawal could still alter outcomes, though current evidence points to structural Democratic advantages in this suburban district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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