Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's D+11 Partisan Voter Index and recent performance where she secured 58% in 2024. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries. Republican contenders Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock remain early in their nomination contest with limited visibility in a suburban Twin Cities district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as primary outcomes, national midterm dynamics, or candidate-specific events could still influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,141 Vol.
$17,141 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$17,141 Vol.
$17,141 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,709 Vol.
94%
共和党
$9,432 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's D+11 Partisan Voter Index and recent performance where she secured 58% in 2024. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries. Republican contenders Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock remain early in their nomination contest with limited visibility in a suburban Twin Cities district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as primary outcomes, national midterm dynamics, or candidate-specific events could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$17,141終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's D+11 Partisan Voter Index and recent performance where she secured 58% in 2024. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries. Republican contenders Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock remain early in their nomination contest with limited visibility in a suburban Twin Cities district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as primary outcomes, national midterm dynamics, or candidate-specific events could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,141終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, consistent with the district's D+11 Partisan Voter Index and recent performance where she secured 58% in 2024. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries. Republican contenders Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock remain early in their nomination contest with limited visibility in a suburban Twin Cities district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as primary outcomes, national midterm dynamics, or candidate-specific events could still influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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