The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris’s 21-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Kelly Morrison, who won the seat with 58.4 percent in her first run, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Republican candidates Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock compete in a low-visibility primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s suburban Twin Cities demographics and recent election results. A late scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the gap, though structural and incumbency factors make such shifts unlikely before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,058 Vol.
$10,058 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$10,058 Vol.
$10,058 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,165 Vol.
93%
共和党
$3,893 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris’s 21-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Kelly Morrison, who won the seat with 58.4 percent in her first run, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Republican candidates Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock compete in a low-visibility primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s suburban Twin Cities demographics and recent election results. A late scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the gap, though structural and incumbency factors make such shifts unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$10,058終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris’s 21-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Kelly Morrison, who won the seat with 58.4 percent in her first run, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Republican candidates Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock compete in a low-visibility primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s suburban Twin Cities demographics and recent election results. A late scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the gap, though structural and incumbency factors make such shifts unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,058終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris’s 21-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Kelly Morrison, who won the seat with 58.4 percent in her first run, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Republican candidates Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock compete in a low-visibility primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s suburban Twin Cities demographics and recent election results. A late scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the gap, though structural and incumbency factors make such shifts unlikely before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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