Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Twin Cities area long rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. The seat has remained in Democratic hands since 2018, with no Republican victory since 2016, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited GOP primary competition from Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries. Recent candidate filing deadlines produced no disruptive developments that would alter this baseline. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects these structural factors, though late-cycle national shifts, candidate health events, or significant fundraising swings could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,058 Vol.
$10,058 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$10,058 Vol.
$10,058 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,165 Vol.
93%
共和党
$3,893 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Twin Cities area long rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. The seat has remained in Democratic hands since 2018, with no Republican victory since 2016, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited GOP primary competition from Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries. Recent candidate filing deadlines produced no disruptive developments that would alter this baseline. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects these structural factors, though late-cycle national shifts, candidate health events, or significant fundraising swings could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$10,058終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Twin Cities area long rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. The seat has remained in Democratic hands since 2018, with no Republican victory since 2016, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited GOP primary competition from Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries. Recent candidate filing deadlines produced no disruptive developments that would alter this baseline. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects these structural factors, though late-cycle national shifts, candidate health events, or significant fundraising swings could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,058終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Twin Cities area long rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. The seat has remained in Democratic hands since 2018, with no Republican victory since 2016, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited GOP primary competition from Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries. Recent candidate filing deadlines produced no disruptive developments that would alter this baseline. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects these structural factors, though late-cycle national shifts, candidate health events, or significant fundraising swings could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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