Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional District ahead of the August 11, 2026 primary and November general election. The seat’s D+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters reflect its suburban Twin Cities composition and recent electoral history, including Morrison’s 2024 victory by nearly 17 points. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. A major national Republican wave or an unforeseen primary development could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical performance make such shifts unlikely within the current resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,058 Vol.
$10,058 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$10,058 Vol.
$10,058 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,165 Vol.
93%
共和党
$3,893 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional District ahead of the August 11, 2026 primary and November general election. The seat’s D+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters reflect its suburban Twin Cities composition and recent electoral history, including Morrison’s 2024 victory by nearly 17 points. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. A major national Republican wave or an unforeseen primary development could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical performance make such shifts unlikely within the current resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$10,058終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional District ahead of the August 11, 2026 primary and November general election. The seat’s D+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters reflect its suburban Twin Cities composition and recent electoral history, including Morrison’s 2024 victory by nearly 17 points. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. A major national Republican wave or an unforeseen primary development could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical performance make such shifts unlikely within the current resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,058終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional District ahead of the August 11, 2026 primary and November general election. The seat’s D+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters reflect its suburban Twin Cities composition and recent electoral history, including Morrison’s 2024 victory by nearly 17 points. Limited Republican primary activity and the absence of competitive challengers reinforce trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. A major national Republican wave or an unforeseen primary development could narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical performance make such shifts unlikely within the current resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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