Florida’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the incumbent Republican Jimmy Patronis positioned as the frontrunner after winning the 2025 special election to succeed Matt Gaetz. A contested Republican primary on August 18 features several challengers, yet Patronis holds institutional advantages and name recognition in a district rated Safe or Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. The Democratic nominee, Gay Valimont, faces an unopposed primary but contends with the district’s partisan composition and historical voting patterns that have consistently favored Republican candidates. These structural factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$110,003 Vol.
$110,003 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
49%
民主党
12%
$110,003 Vol.
$110,003 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$85,722 Vol.
49%
民主党
$24,281 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the incumbent Republican Jimmy Patronis positioned as the frontrunner after winning the 2025 special election to succeed Matt Gaetz. A contested Republican primary on August 18 features several challengers, yet Patronis holds institutional advantages and name recognition in a district rated Safe or Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. The Democratic nominee, Gay Valimont, faces an unopposed primary but contends with the district’s partisan composition and historical voting patterns that have consistently favored Republican candidates. These structural factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$110,003終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the incumbent Republican Jimmy Patronis positioned as the frontrunner after winning the 2025 special election to succeed Matt Gaetz. A contested Republican primary on August 18 features several challengers, yet Patronis holds institutional advantages and name recognition in a district rated Safe or Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. The Democratic nominee, Gay Valimont, faces an unopposed primary but contends with the district’s partisan composition and historical voting patterns that have consistently favored Republican candidates. These structural factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$110,003終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with the incumbent Republican Jimmy Patronis positioned as the frontrunner after winning the 2025 special election to succeed Matt Gaetz. A contested Republican primary on August 18 features several challengers, yet Patronis holds institutional advantages and name recognition in a district rated Safe or Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. The Democratic nominee, Gay Valimont, faces an unopposed primary but contends with the district’s partisan composition and historical voting patterns that have consistently favored Republican candidates. These structural factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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