Florida's 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the party holding an 80.5% implied probability on Polymarket compared to 11.3% for Democrats. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis, who captured the seat in the April 2025 special election following Matt Gaetz's resignation, faces limited opposition in a district that has consistently delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the area's conservative voter base and historical results. Primaries scheduled for August 18, 2026, have not yet produced major shifts, and no late-breaking developments have altered the competitive landscape in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$110,003 Vol.
$110,003 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
81%
民主党
15%
$110,003 Vol.
$110,003 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$85,722 Vol.
81%
民主党
$24,281 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the party holding an 80.5% implied probability on Polymarket compared to 11.3% for Democrats. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis, who captured the seat in the April 2025 special election following Matt Gaetz's resignation, faces limited opposition in a district that has consistently delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the area's conservative voter base and historical results. Primaries scheduled for August 18, 2026, have not yet produced major shifts, and no late-breaking developments have altered the competitive landscape in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$110,003終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the party holding an 80.5% implied probability on Polymarket compared to 11.3% for Democrats. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis, who captured the seat in the April 2025 special election following Matt Gaetz's resignation, faces limited opposition in a district that has consistently delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the area's conservative voter base and historical results. Primaries scheduled for August 18, 2026, have not yet produced major shifts, and no late-breaking developments have altered the competitive landscape in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$110,003終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the party holding an 80.5% implied probability on Polymarket compared to 11.3% for Democrats. Incumbent Jimmy Patronis, who captured the seat in the April 2025 special election following Matt Gaetz's resignation, faces limited opposition in a district that has consistently delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the area's conservative voter base and historical results. Primaries scheduled for August 18, 2026, have not yet produced major shifts, and no late-breaking developments have altered the competitive landscape in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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