California’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus reflecting the impact of the Legislature-drawn map approved under Proposition 50 in late 2025. Incumbent Representative Jared Huffman, a seven-term Democrat, enters the June 2 top-two primary with substantial fundraising advantages and faces a fragmented field that includes Republican and no-party-preference challengers. Voter registration patterns and the district’s coastal and northern California composition have historically produced large Democratic margins. While the current pricing implies limited room for a Republican victory, factors such as unexpected primary outcomes, late candidate withdrawals, or significant shifts in national midterm dynamics could still influence the final result before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$2,682 Vol.
93%
共和党
$1,216 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus reflecting the impact of the Legislature-drawn map approved under Proposition 50 in late 2025. Incumbent Representative Jared Huffman, a seven-term Democrat, enters the June 2 top-two primary with substantial fundraising advantages and faces a fragmented field that includes Republican and no-party-preference challengers. Voter registration patterns and the district’s coastal and northern California composition have historically produced large Democratic margins. While the current pricing implies limited room for a Republican victory, factors such as unexpected primary outcomes, late candidate withdrawals, or significant shifts in national midterm dynamics could still influence the final result before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$3,898終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus reflecting the impact of the Legislature-drawn map approved under Proposition 50 in late 2025. Incumbent Representative Jared Huffman, a seven-term Democrat, enters the June 2 top-two primary with substantial fundraising advantages and faces a fragmented field that includes Republican and no-party-preference challengers. Voter registration patterns and the district’s coastal and northern California composition have historically produced large Democratic margins. While the current pricing implies limited room for a Republican victory, factors such as unexpected primary outcomes, late candidate withdrawals, or significant shifts in national midterm dynamics could still influence the final result before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,898終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus reflecting the impact of the Legislature-drawn map approved under Proposition 50 in late 2025. Incumbent Representative Jared Huffman, a seven-term Democrat, enters the June 2 top-two primary with substantial fundraising advantages and faces a fragmented field that includes Republican and no-party-preference challengers. Voter registration patterns and the district’s coastal and northern California composition have historically produced large Democratic margins. While the current pricing implies limited room for a Republican victory, factors such as unexpected primary outcomes, late candidate withdrawals, or significant shifts in national midterm dynamics could still influence the final result before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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