California's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5%. Incumbent Representative Jared Huffman seeks another term in a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, where recent presidential results have shown Democratic performance well above national averages. The nonpartisan primary on June 2, 2026, features limited Republican competition, consistent with the district's historical voting patterns and lack of recent shifts in voter registration or turnout trends. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the implied probability from market pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unforeseen primary upset or late-cycle national wave, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$0 Vol.
92%
共和党
$1,216 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5%. Incumbent Representative Jared Huffman seeks another term in a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, where recent presidential results have shown Democratic performance well above national averages. The nonpartisan primary on June 2, 2026, features limited Republican competition, consistent with the district's historical voting patterns and lack of recent shifts in voter registration or turnout trends. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the implied probability from market pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unforeseen primary upset or late-cycle national wave, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$1,216終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5%. Incumbent Representative Jared Huffman seeks another term in a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, where recent presidential results have shown Democratic performance well above national averages. The nonpartisan primary on June 2, 2026, features limited Republican competition, consistent with the district's historical voting patterns and lack of recent shifts in voter registration or turnout trends. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the implied probability from market pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unforeseen primary upset or late-cycle national wave, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,216終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 2nd Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5%. Incumbent Representative Jared Huffman seeks another term in a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, where recent presidential results have shown Democratic performance well above national averages. The nonpartisan primary on June 2, 2026, features limited Republican competition, consistent with the district's historical voting patterns and lack of recent shifts in voter registration or turnout trends. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the implied probability from market pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unforeseen primary upset or late-cycle national wave, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations for the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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