Redistricting approved by California voters in November 2025 under Proposition 50 shifted the boundaries of the 6th congressional district to include more Democratic-leaning areas in Sacramento and surrounding counties, creating a solid partisan advantage for the party. This structural change, combined with the top-two primary system on June 2, 2026, positions Democratic candidates to advance to the general election and secure the seat in November. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these electoral math realities and historical patterns in similar safe districts, while the 7.5% Republican share accounts for limited crossover potential in a competitive primary field. A late surge by an independent or Republican challenger, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unexpected legal challenges to the maps remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,528 Vol.
92%
共和党
$286 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by California voters in November 2025 under Proposition 50 shifted the boundaries of the 6th congressional district to include more Democratic-leaning areas in Sacramento and surrounding counties, creating a solid partisan advantage for the party. This structural change, combined with the top-two primary system on June 2, 2026, positions Democratic candidates to advance to the general election and secure the seat in November. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these electoral math realities and historical patterns in similar safe districts, while the 7.5% Republican share accounts for limited crossover potential in a competitive primary field. A late surge by an independent or Republican challenger, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unexpected legal challenges to the maps remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$6,814終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by California voters in November 2025 under Proposition 50 shifted the boundaries of the 6th congressional district to include more Democratic-leaning areas in Sacramento and surrounding counties, creating a solid partisan advantage for the party. This structural change, combined with the top-two primary system on June 2, 2026, positions Democratic candidates to advance to the general election and secure the seat in November. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these electoral math realities and historical patterns in similar safe districts, while the 7.5% Republican share accounts for limited crossover potential in a competitive primary field. A late surge by an independent or Republican challenger, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unexpected legal challenges to the maps remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,814終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved by California voters in November 2025 under Proposition 50 shifted the boundaries of the 6th congressional district to include more Democratic-leaning areas in Sacramento and surrounding counties, creating a solid partisan advantage for the party. This structural change, combined with the top-two primary system on June 2, 2026, positions Democratic candidates to advance to the general election and secure the seat in November. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these electoral math realities and historical patterns in similar safe districts, while the 7.5% Republican share accounts for limited crossover potential in a competitive primary field. A late surge by an independent or Republican challenger, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unexpected legal challenges to the maps remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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