California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under recent state measures and rated Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, features a strong voter registration edge for Democrats alongside consistent past support in the Sacramento area and surrounding suburbs. Independent incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with Republicans after switching affiliation, advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Democrat Richard Pan, but the seat's structural advantages and limited crossover appeal sustain trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. The race remains on track for November 3 general election resolution. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though these face high barriers in a district with such pronounced partisan leanings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,196 Vol.
$42,196 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$42,196 Vol.
$42,196 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$18,233 Vol.
94%
共和党
$23,963 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under recent state measures and rated Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, features a strong voter registration edge for Democrats alongside consistent past support in the Sacramento area and surrounding suburbs. Independent incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with Republicans after switching affiliation, advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Democrat Richard Pan, but the seat's structural advantages and limited crossover appeal sustain trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. The race remains on track for November 3 general election resolution. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though these face high barriers in a district with such pronounced partisan leanings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$42,196終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under recent state measures and rated Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, features a strong voter registration edge for Democrats alongside consistent past support in the Sacramento area and surrounding suburbs. Independent incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with Republicans after switching affiliation, advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Democrat Richard Pan, but the seat's structural advantages and limited crossover appeal sustain trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. The race remains on track for November 3 general election resolution. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though these face high barriers in a district with such pronounced partisan leanings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$42,196終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under recent state measures and rated Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, features a strong voter registration edge for Democrats alongside consistent past support in the Sacramento area and surrounding suburbs. Independent incumbent Kevin Kiley, who caucuses with Republicans after switching affiliation, advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Democrat Richard Pan, but the seat's structural advantages and limited crossover appeal sustain trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. The race remains on track for November 3 general election resolution. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though these face high barriers in a district with such pronounced partisan leanings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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