California's 7th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, with incumbent Doris Matsui securing 66.8 percent in the 2024 general election. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats— Matsui and Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang—while Republican contenders received insufficient support to reach the November ballot. This structure, combined with the district's voter registration and past turnout patterns favoring Democrats, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in a safely Democratic seat, though late developments such as major scandals or extraordinary turnout anomalies could theoretically alter the outcome before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,622 Vol.
$12,622 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
$12,622 Vol.
$12,622 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$6,634 Vol.
96%
共和党
$5,988 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 7th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, with incumbent Doris Matsui securing 66.8 percent in the 2024 general election. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats— Matsui and Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang—while Republican contenders received insufficient support to reach the November ballot. This structure, combined with the district's voter registration and past turnout patterns favoring Democrats, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in a safely Democratic seat, though late developments such as major scandals or extraordinary turnout anomalies could theoretically alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$12,622終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 7th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, with incumbent Doris Matsui securing 66.8 percent in the 2024 general election. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats— Matsui and Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang—while Republican contenders received insufficient support to reach the November ballot. This structure, combined with the district's voter registration and past turnout patterns favoring Democrats, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in a safely Democratic seat, though late developments such as major scandals or extraordinary turnout anomalies could theoretically alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,622終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 7th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, with incumbent Doris Matsui securing 66.8 percent in the 2024 general election. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats— Matsui and Sacramento City Councilmember Mai Vang—while Republican contenders received insufficient support to reach the November ballot. This structure, combined with the district's voter registration and past turnout patterns favoring Democrats, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in a safely Democratic seat, though late developments such as major scandals or extraordinary turnout anomalies could theoretically alter the outcome before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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