Mary Gay Scanlon, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and her 2024 reelection margin. Both parties' primaries concluded in May 2026 with Scanlon and Republican nominee Nicholas Manganaro advancing unopposed, leaving limited opportunities for primary-driven shifts. Fundraising reports show Scanlon maintaining a substantial cash-on-hand advantage, while the district's suburban Philadelphia and Delaware County voter base has historically favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 93 percent aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or national political wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$33,066 Vol.
$33,066 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$33,066 Vol.
$33,066 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$9,583 Vol.
94%
共和党
$23,483 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Gay Scanlon, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and her 2024 reelection margin. Both parties' primaries concluded in May 2026 with Scanlon and Republican nominee Nicholas Manganaro advancing unopposed, leaving limited opportunities for primary-driven shifts. Fundraising reports show Scanlon maintaining a substantial cash-on-hand advantage, while the district's suburban Philadelphia and Delaware County voter base has historically favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 93 percent aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or national political wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$33,066終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Gay Scanlon, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and her 2024 reelection margin. Both parties' primaries concluded in May 2026 with Scanlon and Republican nominee Nicholas Manganaro advancing unopposed, leaving limited opportunities for primary-driven shifts. Fundraising reports show Scanlon maintaining a substantial cash-on-hand advantage, while the district's suburban Philadelphia and Delaware County voter base has historically favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 93 percent aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or national political wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$33,066終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Gay Scanlon, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and her 2024 reelection margin. Both parties' primaries concluded in May 2026 with Scanlon and Republican nominee Nicholas Manganaro advancing unopposed, leaving limited opportunities for primary-driven shifts. Fundraising reports show Scanlon maintaining a substantial cash-on-hand advantage, while the district's suburban Philadelphia and Delaware County voter base has historically favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 93 percent aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal, candidate health event, or national political wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問