Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois's 14th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic lean of roughly D+3 and her repeated victories since flipping it in 2018. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the March 17 primaries without significant opposition, leaving Underwood to face Republican James Marter in a district encompassing western Chicago exurbs such as Aurora, Naperville, and Joliet. Trader consensus aligns with the district's voting history, where Democrats have benefited from favorable redistricting and stronger performance among suburban voters in recent cycles. A Republican upset would likely require an unusually strong national midterm environment, a major unforeseen development affecting Underwood, or a sharp shift in local turnout patterns that overrides the established partisan baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$2,948 Vol.
95%
共和党
$6,259 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois's 14th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic lean of roughly D+3 and her repeated victories since flipping it in 2018. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the March 17 primaries without significant opposition, leaving Underwood to face Republican James Marter in a district encompassing western Chicago exurbs such as Aurora, Naperville, and Joliet. Trader consensus aligns with the district's voting history, where Democrats have benefited from favorable redistricting and stronger performance among suburban voters in recent cycles. A Republican upset would likely require an unusually strong national midterm environment, a major unforeseen development affecting Underwood, or a sharp shift in local turnout patterns that overrides the established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$9,207終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois's 14th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic lean of roughly D+3 and her repeated victories since flipping it in 2018. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the March 17 primaries without significant opposition, leaving Underwood to face Republican James Marter in a district encompassing western Chicago exurbs such as Aurora, Naperville, and Joliet. Trader consensus aligns with the district's voting history, where Democrats have benefited from favorable redistricting and stronger performance among suburban voters in recent cycles. A Republican upset would likely require an unusually strong national midterm environment, a major unforeseen development affecting Underwood, or a sharp shift in local turnout patterns that overrides the established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,207終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois's 14th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic lean of roughly D+3 and her repeated victories since flipping it in 2018. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the March 17 primaries without significant opposition, leaving Underwood to face Republican James Marter in a district encompassing western Chicago exurbs such as Aurora, Naperville, and Joliet. Trader consensus aligns with the district's voting history, where Democrats have benefited from favorable redistricting and stronger performance among suburban voters in recent cycles. A Republican upset would likely require an unusually strong national midterm environment, a major unforeseen development affecting Underwood, or a sharp shift in local turnout patterns that overrides the established partisan baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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