Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 14th congressional district race ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s D+3 partisan voting index and Underwood’s consistent performance, including her 55.1% victory in 2024, underpin trader consensus for a Democratic hold. She faced no primary opposition in March 2026, while Republican nominee James Marter emerged from his contest with limited statewide profile or resources. Recent developments show no major shifts in voter sentiment or campaign dynamics that would narrow the gap. A Democratic victory could be challenged by a significant national Republican wave, unforeseen candidate-specific events such as health concerns, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the Chicago exurban and collar county areas that define the district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$2,948 Vol.
95%
共和党
$6,259 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 14th congressional district race ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s D+3 partisan voting index and Underwood’s consistent performance, including her 55.1% victory in 2024, underpin trader consensus for a Democratic hold. She faced no primary opposition in March 2026, while Republican nominee James Marter emerged from his contest with limited statewide profile or resources. Recent developments show no major shifts in voter sentiment or campaign dynamics that would narrow the gap. A Democratic victory could be challenged by a significant national Republican wave, unforeseen candidate-specific events such as health concerns, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the Chicago exurban and collar county areas that define the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$9,207終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 14th congressional district race ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s D+3 partisan voting index and Underwood’s consistent performance, including her 55.1% victory in 2024, underpin trader consensus for a Democratic hold. She faced no primary opposition in March 2026, while Republican nominee James Marter emerged from his contest with limited statewide profile or resources. Recent developments show no major shifts in voter sentiment or campaign dynamics that would narrow the gap. A Democratic victory could be challenged by a significant national Republican wave, unforeseen candidate-specific events such as health concerns, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the Chicago exurban and collar county areas that define the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,207終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 14th congressional district race ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s D+3 partisan voting index and Underwood’s consistent performance, including her 55.1% victory in 2024, underpin trader consensus for a Democratic hold. She faced no primary opposition in March 2026, while Republican nominee James Marter emerged from his contest with limited statewide profile or resources. Recent developments show no major shifts in voter sentiment or campaign dynamics that would narrow the gap. A Democratic victory could be challenged by a significant national Republican wave, unforeseen candidate-specific events such as health concerns, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the Chicago exurban and collar county areas that define the district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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