Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood, who secured her party's nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary and won reelection in 2024 by 55.1 percent, faces Republican nominee James Marter in the November general election for Illinois's 14th congressional district. The western Chicago exurban seat carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent recent results, contributing to trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Underwood's established incumbency, fundraising edge, and the district's voter base underpin this positioning ahead of the general election campaign. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial movement from current baseline conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$2,948 Vol.
95%
共和党
$6,259 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood, who secured her party's nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary and won reelection in 2024 by 55.1 percent, faces Republican nominee James Marter in the November general election for Illinois's 14th congressional district. The western Chicago exurban seat carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent recent results, contributing to trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Underwood's established incumbency, fundraising edge, and the district's voter base underpin this positioning ahead of the general election campaign. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial movement from current baseline conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$9,207終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood, who secured her party's nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary and won reelection in 2024 by 55.1 percent, faces Republican nominee James Marter in the November general election for Illinois's 14th congressional district. The western Chicago exurban seat carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent recent results, contributing to trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Underwood's established incumbency, fundraising edge, and the district's voter base underpin this positioning ahead of the general election campaign. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial movement from current baseline conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,207終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood, who secured her party's nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary and won reelection in 2024 by 55.1 percent, faces Republican nominee James Marter in the November general election for Illinois's 14th congressional district. The western Chicago exurban seat carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent recent results, contributing to trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Underwood's established incumbency, fundraising edge, and the district's voter base underpin this positioning ahead of the general election campaign. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial movement from current baseline conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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