Lauren Underwood holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 14th congressional district race due to her incumbency in a district with a Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook PVI of D+3 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. She secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary after winning reelection in 2024 with 55 percent, while Republican nominee James Marter prevailed in his primary but trails sharply in fundraising, with Underwood reporting over $1 million cash on hand compared to his roughly $30,000. Recent activity includes Marter's public calls for in-person debates amid ongoing budget and health care policy discussions. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Underwood aligns with these structural factors, though a significant national political shift or late developments could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$16,880 Vol.
$16,880 Vol.
2026/11/02
ローレン・アンダーウッド（民主党）
95%
ジェームズ・マーター（共和党）
5%
$16,880 Vol.
$16,880 Vol.
2026/11/02
ローレン・アンダーウッド（民主党）
$5,376 Vol.
95%
ジェームズ・マーター（共和党）
$11,503 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lauren Underwood holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 14th congressional district race due to her incumbency in a district with a Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook PVI of D+3 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. She secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary after winning reelection in 2024 with 55 percent, while Republican nominee James Marter prevailed in his primary but trails sharply in fundraising, with Underwood reporting over $1 million cash on hand compared to his roughly $30,000. Recent activity includes Marter's public calls for in-person debates amid ongoing budget and health care policy discussions. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Underwood aligns with these structural factors, though a significant national political shift or late developments could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$16,880終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lauren Underwood holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 14th congressional district race due to her incumbency in a district with a Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook PVI of D+3 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. She secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary after winning reelection in 2024 with 55 percent, while Republican nominee James Marter prevailed in his primary but trails sharply in fundraising, with Underwood reporting over $1 million cash on hand compared to his roughly $30,000. Recent activity includes Marter's public calls for in-person debates amid ongoing budget and health care policy discussions. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Underwood aligns with these structural factors, though a significant national political shift or late developments could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$16,880終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Lauren Underwood holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 14th congressional district race due to her incumbency in a district with a Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook PVI of D+3 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. She secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary after winning reelection in 2024 with 55 percent, while Republican nominee James Marter prevailed in his primary but trails sharply in fundraising, with Underwood reporting over $1 million cash on hand compared to his roughly $30,000. Recent activity includes Marter's public calls for in-person debates amid ongoing budget and health care policy discussions. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Underwood aligns with these structural factors, though a significant national political shift or late developments could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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