Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois’s 5th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The district’s strong urban and suburban Democratic base, combined with Quigley’s long tenure since 2009 and prior general-election margins near 69 percent, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic victory in the November general election. Republican nominee Tom Hanson advanced from his primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic performance has exceeded the national average by wide margins in recent cycles. A commanding Democratic position in the market reflects this entrenched partisan tilt and limited competitiveness. Shifts could occur only from an unforeseen national Republican wave, significant late-cycle developments, or major candidate-specific events that alter turnout or voter sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,806 Vol.
95%
共和党
$1,548 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois’s 5th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The district’s strong urban and suburban Democratic base, combined with Quigley’s long tenure since 2009 and prior general-election margins near 69 percent, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic victory in the November general election. Republican nominee Tom Hanson advanced from his primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic performance has exceeded the national average by wide margins in recent cycles. A commanding Democratic position in the market reflects this entrenched partisan tilt and limited competitiveness. Shifts could occur only from an unforeseen national Republican wave, significant late-cycle developments, or major candidate-specific events that alter turnout or voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$9,354終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois’s 5th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The district’s strong urban and suburban Democratic base, combined with Quigley’s long tenure since 2009 and prior general-election margins near 69 percent, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic victory in the November general election. Republican nominee Tom Hanson advanced from his primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic performance has exceeded the national average by wide margins in recent cycles. A commanding Democratic position in the market reflects this entrenched partisan tilt and limited competitiveness. Shifts could occur only from an unforeseen national Republican wave, significant late-cycle developments, or major candidate-specific events that alter turnout or voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,354終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois’s 5th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The district’s strong urban and suburban Democratic base, combined with Quigley’s long tenure since 2009 and prior general-election margins near 69 percent, anchors trader expectations for a Democratic victory in the November general election. Republican nominee Tom Hanson advanced from his primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Democratic performance has exceeded the national average by wide margins in recent cycles. A commanding Democratic position in the market reflects this entrenched partisan tilt and limited competitiveness. Shifts could occur only from an unforeseen national Republican wave, significant late-cycle developments, or major candidate-specific events that alter turnout or voter sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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