Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative and Obama administration Labor Secretary now serving as a Los Angeles County supervisor, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Pedro Antonio Casas in the newly redrawn California 38th district. The seat became open after mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted lines across Los Angeles and Orange counties and prompted incumbent Linda Sánchez to run elsewhere. The district carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index and has received Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins. Solis holds substantial name recognition, fundraising leads, and party endorsements that reinforce trader consensus on a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Low-probability shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican performance that alters turnout patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$63,863 Vol.
$63,863 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
<1%
$63,863 Vol.
$63,863 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$32,202 Vol.
95%
共和党
$31,662 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative and Obama administration Labor Secretary now serving as a Los Angeles County supervisor, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Pedro Antonio Casas in the newly redrawn California 38th district. The seat became open after mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted lines across Los Angeles and Orange counties and prompted incumbent Linda Sánchez to run elsewhere. The district carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index and has received Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins. Solis holds substantial name recognition, fundraising leads, and party endorsements that reinforce trader consensus on a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Low-probability shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican performance that alters turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$63,863終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative and Obama administration Labor Secretary now serving as a Los Angeles County supervisor, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Pedro Antonio Casas in the newly redrawn California 38th district. The seat became open after mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted lines across Los Angeles and Orange counties and prompted incumbent Linda Sánchez to run elsewhere. The district carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index and has received Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins. Solis holds substantial name recognition, fundraising leads, and party endorsements that reinforce trader consensus on a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Low-probability shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican performance that alters turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$63,863終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative and Obama administration Labor Secretary now serving as a Los Angeles County supervisor, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Pedro Antonio Casas in the newly redrawn California 38th district. The seat became open after mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted lines across Los Angeles and Orange counties and prompted incumbent Linda Sánchez to run elsewhere. The district carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index and has received Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins. Solis holds substantial name recognition, fundraising leads, and party endorsements that reinforce trader consensus on a Democratic outcome in the November general election. Low-probability shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawal, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican performance that alters turnout patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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