California’s 38th congressional district, an open seat following the retirement of longtime Democratic incumbent Linda Sánchez, features a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its voting history and Cook Political Report’s Solid D rating. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis, Monica Sanchez, and Erik Lutz, are competing in the June 2 primary, while Republican Pedro Casas faces limited opposition. This structure, combined with the district’s demographic and electoral profile, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election victory on November 3. A Republican win would require a substantial shift in turnout or national conditions far beyond current indicators.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$58,602 Vol.
$58,602 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
2%
$58,602 Vol.
$58,602 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$29,182 Vol.
95%
共和党
$29,420 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 38th congressional district, an open seat following the retirement of longtime Democratic incumbent Linda Sánchez, features a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its voting history and Cook Political Report’s Solid D rating. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis, Monica Sanchez, and Erik Lutz, are competing in the June 2 primary, while Republican Pedro Casas faces limited opposition. This structure, combined with the district’s demographic and electoral profile, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election victory on November 3. A Republican win would require a substantial shift in turnout or national conditions far beyond current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$58,602終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 38th congressional district, an open seat following the retirement of longtime Democratic incumbent Linda Sánchez, features a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its voting history and Cook Political Report’s Solid D rating. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis, Monica Sanchez, and Erik Lutz, are competing in the June 2 primary, while Republican Pedro Casas faces limited opposition. This structure, combined with the district’s demographic and electoral profile, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election victory on November 3. A Republican win would require a substantial shift in turnout or national conditions far beyond current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$58,602終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 38th congressional district, an open seat following the retirement of longtime Democratic incumbent Linda Sánchez, features a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its voting history and Cook Political Report’s Solid D rating. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis, Monica Sanchez, and Erik Lutz, are competing in the June 2 primary, while Republican Pedro Casas faces limited opposition. This structure, combined with the district’s demographic and electoral profile, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election victory on November 3. A Republican win would require a substantial shift in turnout or national conditions far beyond current indicators.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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